Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 44 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 85 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 6.5% on 2 Aug 2026.
Carlos Alcaraz ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1”. Alexander Zverev leads at 98%; Jannik Sinner is at 0.5%.
$5.44K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.39K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 103 trades, $57.89 bought Yes and $2.29K bought No.
The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 7K. Ten wallets hold 88.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 85 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.03K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.5K |
| Hyperlong | Yes | 1.4K |
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026. If the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-2026-end-of-year-rankings-player-to-be-number-1-20260728190252631
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 544.82 |
| Lucerys | Yes | 523.23 |
| Cescoli | Yes | 445.77 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 310.85 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 233.57 |
| northdrawer | Yes | 230 |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 221.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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