Nothing here has moved by more than its normal daily swing. The prices below are where the market has settled for now.
Little change: −2.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 1.0.
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| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | 23% |
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | 22¢/23¢ | $1.7K, $4.0K | 24¢+1.0 | 26¢+2.8 |
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On Polymarket, “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?” trades at 23%, on $31.1K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 28 open markets across 28 Polymarket events, which together traded $33.3K over the same 24 hours and hold $256K of resting liquidity. Prices as of 27 Oct 2026, 18:37 UTC.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | 23% | — | — |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion? | 25% | — | — | $629 |
Each recorded move in the Ballot Measures 2026 room beside the room's own sourced events near it: reports by when they were published, calendar and record entries by the date they name. Close in time is not a cause: Vultax has not confirmed why any of these prices moved.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
This room reads Polymarket's markets on state ballot measures in the US general election of 3 November 2026, and sorts them into California and the other states. The largest is California's proposed one-time tax on billionaires' wealth. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.
A ballot measure market pays on whether the measure passes, so it can settle No for reasons that have nothing to do with the vote: the wealth tax market, for one, also paid No if no qualifying measure had been certified for the ballot by its deadline. Read each market's rules for what counts.
| $90.2K |
| 4 Nov 2026 |
| Yes23¢No78¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Clinic Funding Proposition | 9.5% | — | — | $90 | $16.4K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes9.5¢No91¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition | 25% | — | — | $0 | $1.9K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes25¢No75¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition | 94% | — | — | $0 | $18.5K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes94¢No6.5¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition | 67% | — | — | $0 | $1.0K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes67¢No33¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Immunology Research Bond Proposition | 78% | — | — | $0 | $1.3K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes78¢No22¢ |
| 4 Nov 2026 |
| Yes25¢No76¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access? | 76% | — | — | $596 | $871 | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes76¢No25¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? | 50% | — | — | $282 | $22.8K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes50¢No50¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers? | 70% | — | — | $201 | $1.1K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes70¢No31¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? | 87% | — | — | $124 | $10.6K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes87¢No14¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure? | 77% | — | — | $101 | $10.5K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes77¢No23¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? | 55% | — | — | $88 | $3.3K | 1 Apr 2027 | Yes55¢No45¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? | 82% | — | — | $61 | $190 | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes82¢No18¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? | 53% | — | — | $40 | $137 | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes53¢No48¢ |
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? | 11% | — | — | $27 | $12.1K | 4 Nov 2026 | Yes11¢No89¢ |
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
