Analytics
Yes is at 81%, up 35 points from 46% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
Across the 113 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 27% on 25 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 75.5%; a month before, 62%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 54.5% on 25 Sep 2026.
$3.68K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.1K, with a 24.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is oneoftheppl with 127 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 209. Ten wallets hold 88.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 46.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 81.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 209.02 |
| oneoftheppl | Yes | 126.54 |
| johnashbough | Yes | 89.18 |
Proposition 37 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would create a $25 billion mortgage loan program for home buyers who make less than 200% of the area median income. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/california-homebuying-loan-program-proposition
| DuneMentat |
| Yes |
| 72 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 69 |
| Winged-Holder | Yes | 59 |
| dropmeplease | No | 40.96 |
| i2dt | Yes | 36 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 33.7 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | No | 23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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