Analytics
johnashbough has made $3.84K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 200.9 | $0.872 | $199.9 | +$24.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 08:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 09:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 09:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 08:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.42K and losing ones cost $1.56K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $191.4 on “Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?” (Yes); the largest loss, $182.57 on “Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?” (No).
It has traded 1,241 markets. Its open positions are worth $8.77K across 198 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 200.31 |
| $0.698 |
| $198.81 |
| +$58.99 |
 Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | No | 201.86 | $0.903 | $189.55 | +$7.16 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October? | No | 196.4 | $0.653 | $189.23 | +$61.01 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October? | No | 191.15 | $0.742 | $188.76 | +$47.01 |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September? | No | 203.3 | $0.817 | $188.16 | +$22.08 |
 Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 200 | $0.800 | $180.8 | +$20.8 |
 Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 198 | $0.870 | $178.2 | +$5.94 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | Yes | 200.33 | $0.873 | $177.29 | +$2.41 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October? | No | 168.47 | $0.807 | $164.68 | +$28.68 |
 Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026? | No | 203.68 | $0.157 | $160.91 | +$129 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 196.47 | $0.737 | $150.3 | +$5.49 |
 Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31? | No | 166.7 | $0.866 | $148.36 | +$4 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October? | No | 151.24 | $0.940 | $148.14 | +$6.04 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | No | 194.59 | $0.777 | $142.44 | -$8.77 |
 Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 203.29 | $0.645 | $137.22 | +$6.06 |
 Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | No | 200.31 | $0.610 | $137.21 | +$14.96 |
 Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | No | 206.97 | $0.114 | $135.57 | +$112.05 |
 Will Team Liquid Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? | No | 140.28 | $0.528 | $132.56 | +$58.49 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October? | No | 132.81 | $0.584 | $130.42 | +$52.88 |
 Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%? | No | 199.19 | $0.601 | $127.48 | +$7.68 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October? | No | 129.02 | $0.495 | $126.32 | +$62.44 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | No | 202.86 | $0.418 | $122.73 | +$37.82 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 185.09 | $0.757 | $120.31 | -$19.79 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 176.77 | $0.613 | $114.01 | +$5.74 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
