Analytics
johnashbough has made $3.82K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | No | 200.31 | $0.698 | $198.81 | +$58.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 08:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 13:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 13:33 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 08:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.42K and losing ones cost $1.56K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $191.4 on “Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?” (Yes); the largest loss, $182.57 on “Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?” (No).
It has traded 1,248 markets. Its open positions are worth $8.98K across 204 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 200.9 |
| $0.872 |
| $197.19 |
| +$22.08 |
 Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | No | 201.86 | $0.903 | $192.37 | +$9.99 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October? | No | 196.4 | $0.653 | $189.43 | +$61.21 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October? | No | 191.15 | $0.742 | $188.66 | +$46.91 |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September? | No | 203.3 | $0.817 | $188.36 | +$22.28 |
 Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 200 | $0.800 | $181.2 | +$21.2 |
 Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 198 | $0.870 | $178.2 | +$5.94 |
 Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026? | No | 203.68 | $0.157 | $170.07 | +$138.16 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | Yes | 200.33 | $0.873 | $168.28 | -$6.61 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October? | No | 168.47 | $0.807 | $164.85 | +$28.85 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October? | No | 174.77 | $0.650 | $159.47 | +$45.77 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 196.47 | $0.737 | $152.26 | +$7.45 |
 Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31? | No | 166.7 | $0.866 | $148.36 | +$4 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October? | No | 151.24 | $0.940 | $146.55 | +$4.46 |
 Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 203.29 | $0.645 | $143.32 | +$12.16 |
 Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | No | 200.31 | $0.610 | $137.21 | +$14.96 |
 Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | No | 206.97 | $0.114 | $136.6 | +$113.08 |
 Will Team Liquid Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? | No | 140.28 | $0.528 | $131.16 | +$57.08 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October? | No | 132.81 | $0.584 | $130.35 | +$52.81 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | No | 202.86 | $0.418 | $127.8 | +$42.89 |
 Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%? | No | 199.19 | $0.601 | $127.48 | +$7.68 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | Yes | 201.67 | $0.627 | $126.04 | -$0.36 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October? | No | 129.02 | $0.495 | $125.86 | +$61.99 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | No | 194.59 | $0.777 | $124.93 | -$26.28 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
