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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.530 | $0.53 | Jul 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.26 |
| $0.430 |
| $0.54 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?No | sell | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.160 | $0.32 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.470 | $0.94 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.025 | $0.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Yes | sell | 2.41 | $0.470 | $1.13 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.93 | $0.390 | $1.14 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.160 | $0.88 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.970 | $5.82 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?No | sell | 6.81 | $0.061 | $0.42 | Jul 25, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.03 | $0.940 | $7.55 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.09 | $0.750 | $6.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.14 | $0.041 | $0.33 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.43 | $0.130 | $1.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?No | sell | 11.68 | $0.290 | $3.39 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.930 | $12.09 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.43 | $0.430 | $5.77 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 13.66 | $0.940 | $12.84 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.940 | $13.16 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.710 | $12.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 19.16 | $0.270 | $5.17 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.040 | $0.84 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.98 | $0.026 | $0.57 | Jul 25, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.99 | $0.120 | $2.64 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.43 | $0.939 | $21.06 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.830 | $18.86 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Yes | sell | 22.99 | $0.270 | $6.21 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.930 | $21.39 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.79 | $0.335 | $7.97 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.100 | $2.4 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 24 | $0.968 | $23.23 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.030 | $0.75 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | sell | 25 | $0.760 | $19 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.024 | $0.65 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?Yes | sell | 27.53 | $0.021 | $0.58 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 27.78 | $0.480 | $13.33 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.070 | $2.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.038 | $1.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | sell | 32.63 | $0.650 | $21.21 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 34.16 | $0.550 | $18.79 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.036 | $1.26 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 35.86 | $0.917 | $32.88 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.09 | $0.140 | $5.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.930 | $36.27 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | sell | 39.51 | $0.058 | $2.29 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?No | sell | 41 | $0.720 | $29.52 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.650 | $13.65 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.900 | $37.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |