Analytics
Yes is at 22%, down 31 points from 53% when the market opened on 31 Jul 2026.
Across the 87 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 3 Aug 2026 and the lowest 14% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 54.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 39% on 13 Aug 2026.
$175.89 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.57K since listing. The order book holds $17.16K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 369 trades, $1.13K bought Yes and $5.78K bought No.
The largest Yes position is buoys with 2.7K shares; the largest No position is cosmicsteaks with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 86.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 53.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 22.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cosmicsteaks | No | 2.68K |
| buoys | Yes | 2.67K |
| DuneMentat | No | 1.7K |
Idaho Proposition 1 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would create a right to abortion and other reproductive choices in the State of Idaho. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Idaho statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/idaho-passes-ballot-measure-legalizing-abortion-20260729165257291
| goingsocial |
| Yes |
| 1.25K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 475.68 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 427.91 |
| singularityman | No | 427 |
| Coral Tide 0092 | No | 343.11 |
| dreamingToBeAGuru | Yes | 274.26 |
| DataDog | Yes | 259.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
