Analytics
singularityman has made $78.74K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 19.29K | $0.564 | $17.07K | +$6.2K |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 22:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 01:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 01:23 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 22:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $112.85K and losing ones cost $18.36K across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15K on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?” (No); the largest loss, $4.29K on “Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 652 markets. Its open positions are worth $37.77K across 98 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 2.69K |
| $0.736 |
| $1.69K |
| -$284.93 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 1.91K | $0.723 | $1.63K | +$243.28 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1.5K | $0.910 | $1.49K | +$120.51 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 1.55K | $0.465 | $1.26K | +$543.04 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 999.99 | $0.778 | $954.99 | +$176.94 |
 Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | No | 807 | $0.900 | $781.18 | +$54.64 |
 Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? | No | 725.22 | $0.749 | $694.04 | +$150.77 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1.78K | $0.305 | $615.48 | +$70.64 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 671 | $0.823 | $607.26 | +$54.89 |
 Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 612.14 | $0.732 | $603.26 | +$155.4 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? | No | 577 | $0.792 | $470.26 | +$13.39 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.4K | $0.450 | $444.19 | -$635.67 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes | 3.03K | $0.115 | $408.42 | +$61.61 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more? | Yes | 758.95 | $0.197 | $406.04 | +$256.22 |
 Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | No | 500.55 | $0.634 | $380.42 | +$62.89 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.750 | $366.4 | -$66.36 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | Yes | 436 | $0.830 | $350.98 | -$10.9 |
 Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 349.03 | $0.351 | $335.24 | +$212.78 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 335.2 | $0.739 | $317.27 | +$69.66 |
 Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion? | No | 427 | $0.390 | $313.85 | +$147.32 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? | No | 341.78 | $0.830 | $275.13 | -$8.54 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 283 | $0.140 | $263.19 | +$223.57 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | Yes | 384 | $0.820 | $261.12 | -$53.76 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more? | No | 261 | $0.785 | $259.04 | +$54.25 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
