Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 19.29K | $0.564 | $15.72K | +$4.85K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No | buy | 305.22 | $0.753 | $229.97 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.27K |
| $0.736 |
| $3.29K |
| +$144.99 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 3.53K | $0.465 | $3.09K | +$1.45K |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 1.97K | $0.723 | $1.51K | +$82.95 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1.5K | $0.910 | $1.4K | +$36.58 |
 Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.17K | $0.780 | $1.06K | +$150.59 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 999.99 | $0.778 | $944.99 | +$166.94 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06K | $0.823 | $841.91 | -$29.86 |
 Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | No | 807 | $0.900 | $756.56 | +$30.03 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | No | 1.13K | $0.294 | $750.03 | +$417.91 |
| Will Maine have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 787.93 | $0.840 | $728.84 | +$66.97 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes | 3.03K | $0.115 | $620.2 | +$273.38 |
 Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 612.14 | $0.732 | $578.47 | +$130.61 |
 Will Kansas have the closest Governor's race in 2026? | No | 598 | $0.886 | $562.12 | +$32.52 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more? | Yes | 758.95 | $0.197 | $550.24 | +$400.42 |
| Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? | No | 725.22 | $0.749 | $536.66 | -$6.6 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? | No | 577 | $0.792 | $499.11 | +$42.24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.790 | $492.25 | +$97.25 |
| Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 550.44 | $0.827 | $491.27 | +$36 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.750 | $461.6 | +$28.85 |
 Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | No | 500.55 | $0.634 | $427.97 | +$110.44 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | Yes | 436 | $0.830 | $377.14 | +$15.26 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 378.77 | $0.791 | $375.55 | +$75.89 |
 Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? | No | 1.63K | $0.221 | $333.34 | -$26.41 |
| Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 336.15 | $0.872 | $332.96 | +$39.99 |
| sell |
| 350 |
| $0.040 |
| $14.07 |
| 1d ago |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?No | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | 1d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?No | buy | 49.24 | $0.580 | $28.56 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 55% or more?No | buy | 158 | $0.820 | $129.56 | 1d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?No | buy | 59.04 | $0.530 | $31.29 | 1d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?No | buy | 357 | $0.346 | $123.58 | 1d ago |
| Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No | buy | 420 | $0.746 | $313.3 | 1d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.720 | $1.34K | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.760 | $1.52K | 2d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?No | buy | 153.87 | $0.334 | $51.33 | 2d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?No | buy | 154 | $0.338 | $52.11 | 2d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?No | buy | 154 | $0.331 | $51.02 | 2d ago |
 Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 279 | $0.270 | $75.33 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.750 | $1.01K | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?No | sell | 121.25 | $0.757 | $91.74 | 4d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?No | buy | 248 | $0.872 | $216.26 | 4d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?No | buy | 261 | $0.774 | $202.12 | 4d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more?No | buy | 261 | $0.785 | $204.79 | 4d ago |
 Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Yes | buy | 304.3 | $0.110 | $33.46 | 4d ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 35% or more?No | buy | 158 | $0.810 | $127.98 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes | buy | 186.66 | $0.130 | $24.27 | 4d ago |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 283 | $0.140 | $39.62 | 5d ago |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?No | buy | 154 | $0.800 | $123.2 | 5d ago |
 Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 119.03 | $0.336 | $39.96 | 6d ago |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 230 | $0.359 | $82.5 | 6d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 30% or more?Yes | buy | 165.68 | $0.324 | $53.62 | 6d ago |
 Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes | buy | 264 | $0.224 | $59.22 | 7d ago |
 Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?No | buy | 166 | $0.233 | $38.72 | 7d ago |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?No | buy | 190 | $0.250 | $47.5 | 7d ago |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 7d ago |
 Will there be no OpenAI Astra model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.760 | $37.24 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no OpenAI Astra model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 358 | $0.743 | $266.02 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 12%-15%?No | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more?No | buy | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | 8d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 114 | $0.770 | $87.78 | 9d ago |
 Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.008 | $1.25 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1.53K | $0.710 | $1.08K | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 3.9K | $0.710 | $2.77K | 9d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 430.99 | $0.295 | $127.08 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 465 | $0.710 | $330.15 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.710 | $1.42K | 9d ago |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes | buy | 384 | $0.138 | $52.99 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 124.38 | $0.304 | $37.87 | 10d ago |
| Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 316.61 | $0.150 | $47.49 | 13d ago |
| Will Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | 13d ago |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?No | buy | 384 | $0.239 | $91.66 | 13d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 77 | $0.480 | $36.96 | 13d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 162 | $0.480 | $77.76 | 13d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 30% or more?No | buy | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | 13d ago |