Analytics
Trading ended on 5 Oct 2026 with Yes at 2.7%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 95 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.5% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%; a month before, 4.2%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 27.5% on 3 Aug 2026.
Francis James Allison Oyague ranks second of the 23 outcomes in “Lima Mayoral Election Winner”. Rafael López Aliaga leads at 86%; Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca is at 1.1%.
$173.69K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Henrysal with 6.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 32.5K. Ten wallets hold 66% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 95 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 11.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 32.52K |
| Henrysal | Yes | 6.8K |
| josephjb009 | Yes | 5.16K |
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lima-mayoral-election-winner-20260724153924694
11 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| lastsovietspy |
| Yes |
| 5.02K |
| Coordinated-Leather | No | 4.42K |
| Zigzag-Inability | No | 4K |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 2.55K |
| AGUILA3300 | Yes | 2.4K |
| AZwater | No | 1.92K |
| Josecito666 | No | 1.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
