Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 5.74K | $0.754 | $4.74K | +$407.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 1.98K |
| $0.834 |
| $1.56K |
| -$87.65 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 800 | $0.420 | $356 | +$20 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 2.43K | $0.117 | $315.9 | +$32.6 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 260 | $0.919 | $235.3 | -$3.54 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.070 | $130.91 | -$10.07 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 456 | $0.158 | $70.68 | -$1.48 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 177 | $0.355 | $62.84 | +$0.01 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 124 | $0.456 | $60.14 | +$3.6 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 251 | $0.176 | $52.71 | +$8.61 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 93 | $0.572 | $49.8 | -$3.37 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 74 | $0.433 | $34.37 | +$2.3 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 172 | $0.159 | $27.61 | +$0.31 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 79 | $0.300 | $24.1 | +$0.4 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 11 | $0.940 | $10.33 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.035 | $7.1 | +$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 36 | $0.201 | $6.55 | -$0.68 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.039 | $3.05 | -$0.85 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.013 | $2.7 | +$0.1 |
 Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28? | Yes | 44 | $0.071 | $2.22 | -$0.92 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 27 | $0.080 | $2.16 | $0 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 34 | $0.031 | $1.04 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.160 |
| $16 |
| 4h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | 4h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | 4h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.160 | $7.68 | 4h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | 4h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | 4h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.180 | $17.28 | 6h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.180 | $2.16 | 6h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.180 | $2.7 | 7h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | 7h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.180 | $2.52 | 7h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | 9h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.466 | $3.26 | 9h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.160 | $1.44 | 10h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.160 | $3.84 | 10h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | 11h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | 11h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 11 | $0.120 | $1.32 | 11h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | 11h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 28 | $0.120 | $3.36 | 11h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 18 | $0.120 | $2.16 | 11h ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.159 | $3.82 | 12h ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.159 | $1.43 | 12h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 44 | $0.120 | $5.28 | 12h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | 12h ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.070 | $1.96 | 12h ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.070 | $1.12 | 13h ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.070 | $1.96 | 13h ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.070 | $1.19 | 13h ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.159 | $3.5 | 13h ago |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.080 | $2.16 | 13h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 63 | $0.120 | $7.56 | 13h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 17 | $0.120 | $2.04 | 13h ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.159 | $1.59 | 13h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.850 | $37.4 | 13h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 13h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 13h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 17 | $0.120 | $2.04 | 13h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 16 | $0.120 | $1.92 | 13h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.160 | $1.92 | 13h ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.160 | $2.88 | 13h ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.160 | $4.64 | 13h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | 13h ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | 13h ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.070 | $1.12 | 13h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 96 | $0.760 | $72.96 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | 1d ago |