Analytics
Yes is at 3.5%, about where the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
Across the 446 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10% on 31 Jul 2025 and the lowest 1.9% on 9 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 2.8%.
Andy Beshear ranks seventh of the 53 outcomes in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Gavin Newsom leads at 16.9%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is at 16.1%.
$3.15K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.51M since listing. The order book holds $387.45K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.42K bought Yes and $3.31K bought No; the largest was a $1.42K buy of Yes at 3.5¢.
The largest Yes position is VorVZakone with 621.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.15M. Ten wallets hold 79% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 446 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 3.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.15M |
| VorVZakone | Yes | 621.57K |
| bee | Yes | 402.22K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
41 more outcomes, none above 1.7%.
| thanks4playing |
| Yes |
| 188.62K |
| 11122 | Yes | 135.24K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 114.87K |
| mombil | Yes | 114.71K |
| fsx45 | Yes | 100K |
| Bold Raven 4F44 | Yes | 81.53K |
| Boey | Yes | 81.02K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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