Analytics
Yes is at 1.2%, about where the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
The high was 2.1% on 20 Jul 2025 and the low 0.4% on 21 Aug 2025. A week ago Yes was at 0.5%; a month ago, 0.5%.
Raphael Warnock ranks 15th of the 53 outcomes in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 17.8%; Jon Ossoff is at 16.1%.
$122.66K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $33.81M since listing. The order book holds $599.98K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $8.32K bought Yes and $5.28K bought No; the largest was a $3.39K buy of Yes at 0.6¢.
The largest Yes position is whig with 610.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.14M. Ten wallets hold 82.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 12, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 431 points · 19 Jul 2025 – 12 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 1.4% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 1.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.14M |
| whig | Yes | 610.91K |
| fsx45 | Yes | 388.3K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
40 more outcomes, none above 1.4%.
| gloriafoster |
| Yes |
| 222.26K |
| Forrester26 | Yes | 200.15K |
| bernardbulletin | Yes | 199.74K |
| ScottyNooo | Yes | 114.71K |
| Blind Chicken | Yes | 100.67K |
| lug | Yes | 100K |
| Billy2025 | Yes | 90.58K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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