Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 309.58K | $0.513 | $162.53K | +$3.74K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.680 | $687.36 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 64.36K |
| $0.798 |
| $55.67K |
| +$4.31K |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 49.32K | $0.949 | $47.13K | +$302.79 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 97.19K | $0.325 | $44.37K | +$12.75K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 45.22K | $0.739 | $42.28K | +$8.87K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 42.09K | $0.800 | $36.41K | +$2.71K |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 30.67K | $0.962 | $30.44K | +$948.33 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 360.14K | $0.045 | $28.09K | +$11.92K |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 48.1K | $0.447 | $24.17K | +$2.69K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100.43K | $0.232 | $24.15K | +$845.53 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 45.67K | $0.662 | $21.24K | -$9.01K |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 485.77K | $0.029 | $17.73K | +$3.74K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 20.22K | $0.831 | $17.29K | +$489.39 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18.01K | $0.863 | $14.85K | -$677.83 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 14.3K | $0.840 | $12.66K | +$650.02 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 24.96K | $0.364 | $12.61K | +$3.53K |
 Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 11.02K | $0.984 | $10.76K | -$82.55 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 28.11K | $0.373 | $9.98K | -$507.24 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 9.28K | $0.957 | $8.96K | +$79.04 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 8.92K | $0.733 | $8.52K | +$1.98K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 15.78K | $0.395 | $8.29K | +$2.05K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14.18K | $0.498 | $7.59K | +$518.83 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.6K | $0.198 | $6.35K | +$87.81 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 13.73K | $0.705 | $6.25K | -$3.43K |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 20.91K | $0.382 | $6.17K | -$1.83K |
| buy |
| 126.95 |
| $0.670 |
| $85.06 |
| 4h ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 9.74K | $0.608 | $5.92K | 1d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 151.7 | $0.520 | $78.88 | 1d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | buy | 90.51 | $0.870 | $78.74 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 41.57K | $0.950 | $39.49K | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.44K | $0.960 | $4.27K | 1d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 3.18K | $0.570 | $1.81K | 1d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.950 | $1.06K | 1d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 15.72K | $0.421 | $6.62K | 1d ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 127.88 | $0.218 | $27.88 | 3d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.430 | $860 | 3d ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 298.95 | $0.200 | $59.79 | 3d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 8.11K | $0.369 | $2.99K | 3d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 6.35K | $0.311 | $1.98K | 3d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 555 | $0.910 | $505.05 | 3d ago |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 873 | $0.950 | $829.02 | 3d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.045 | $112.92 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.22K | $0.890 | $4.64K | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 40.83 | $0.260 | $10.62 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.723 | $1.3K | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 69.98 | $0.710 | $49.69 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 33.8 | $0.390 | $13.18 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 282.33 | $0.980 | $276.68 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.970 | $1.33K | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.954 | $47.7 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.950 | $973.41 | 4d ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 189.21 | $0.219 | $41.44 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.140 | $2.66 | 5d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.67K | $0.050 | $333.3 | 6d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.22K | $0.050 | $111.1 | 6d ago |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | sell | 708.99 | $0.050 | $35.45 | 6d ago |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | sell | 118.67 | $0.066 | $7.83 | 6d ago |
 Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.966 | $38.64 | 6d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.852 | $34.07 | 9d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.92 | $0.150 | $1.04 | 9d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.42 | $0.140 | $5.8 | 9d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 6.06K | $0.940 | $5.69K | 9d ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 265.41 | $0.930 | $246.83 | 9d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 954.13 | $0.950 | $906.42 | 9d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.97 | $0.183 | $3.47 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.31 | $0.090 | $1.02 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 122.04 | $0.196 | $23.92 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 34.16K | $0.999 | $34.13K | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 12.1K | $0.999 | $12.09K | 9d ago |