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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 25K | $0.863 | $23.12K | +$1.55K |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 687.78 | $0.660 | $453.93 | 18h ago |
|
| No |
| 15K |
| $0.933 |
| $14.02K |
| +$25.03 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 18K | $0.500 | $13.67K | +$4.67K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 14K | $0.521 | $11.2K | +$3.9K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10K | $0.961 | $9.61K | +$1.69 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.856 | $9.45K | +$890 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 8.75K | $0.872 | $8.26K | +$632.75 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 7.01K | $0.303 | $6.71K | +$4.59K |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 6.3K | $0.730 | $5.45K | +$851.69 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5.57K | $0.837 | $4.93K | +$265.21 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18K | $0.500 | $4.33K | -$4.67K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5.01K | $0.816 | $4.25K | +$162.71 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 6K | $0.640 | $4.23K | +$390 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 8K | $0.450 | $4.04K | +$440.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.88K | $0.568 | $3.54K | +$765.46 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 4K | $0.650 | $3.36K | +$760.01 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 4.03K | $0.619 | $2.96K | +$468.16 |
 Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30? | Yes | 2.83K | $0.912 | $2.83K | +$243.98 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 22.36K | $0.248 | $2.79K | -$2.75K |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.870 | $2.3K | +$125 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 3.03K | $0.667 | $2.23K | +$207.17 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3K | $0.670 | $2.17K | +$165 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.698 | $2.15K | +$51.76 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.28K | $0.757 | $2.06K | +$336.68 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 5.78K | $0.176 | $2.03K | +$1.02K |
| sell |
| 602.77 |
| $0.381 |
| $229.44 |
| 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 602.77 | $0.270 | $162.75 | 21h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.640 | $1.92K | 22h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.67 | $0.160 | $20.75 | 1d ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.780 | $1.56K | 1d ago |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.936 | $1.2K | 2d ago |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.891 | $1.36K | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 117.35 | $0.820 | $96.23 | 2d ago |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.178 | $22.3 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 763.4 | $0.190 | $145.05 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.62K | $0.681 | $1.11K | 4d ago |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.863 | $1.81K | 4d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.630 | $1.12K | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.480 | $574.96 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 37.22 | $0.230 | $8.56 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.263 | $597.56 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 124.99 | $0.570 | $71.24 | 4d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 3.16K | $0.173 | $547.9 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.48K | $0.750 | $4.11K | 6d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 5K | $0.962 | $4.81K | 6d ago |
 OFI leading at halftime?No | buy | 91.5 | $0.940 | $86.01 | 6d ago |
| AEK vs. OFI: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 3.31K | $0.265 | $878.11 | 6d ago |
| AEK vs. OFI: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 1.57K | $0.250 | $392.67 | 6d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 5.05K | $0.150 | $756.9 | 6d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.117 | $162.84 | 7d ago |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | sell | 577.28 | $0.704 | $406.68 | 7d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Yes | buy | 391 | $0.613 | $239.76 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.1K | $0.190 | $779.3 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 282.26 | $0.110 | $31.05 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.61K | $0.280 | $2.41K | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 999.38 | $0.900 | $899.44 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 3K | $0.991 | $2.97K | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 2K | $0.992 | $1.98K | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.992 | $1.29K | 9d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.57K | $0.280 | $1.56K | 10d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.280 | $140 | 10d ago |
 Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?No | buy | 2K | $0.400 | $800 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 711.06 | $0.647 | $460.03 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 17.74 | $0.380 | $6.74 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 754.16 | $0.394 | $296.76 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 543.2 | $0.370 | $200.98 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 610 | $0.437 | $266.6 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 943.29 | $0.448 | $422.85 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.432 | $580.7 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | sell | 1.24K | $0.137 | $169.59 | 10d ago |
| Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by 3–6%?Yes | buy | 511 | $0.200 | $102.09 | 10d ago |
| Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.190 | $95 | 10d ago |