Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 42 points from 50% when the market opened on 6 Oct 2025.
Across the 365 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 2 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.5%; a month before, 18.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 52% on 11 Oct 2025.
It is one of 3 markets under “Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?”.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $248.08K since listing. The order book holds $12.84K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $8.8K bought Yes and $19.3K bought No; the largest was a $4.14K sell of No at 85.2¢.
The largest Yes position is KmafiaFANS with 15K shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 19.7K. Ten wallets hold 48.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 365 points, 6 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elmcap2 | No | 19.68K |
| manekineko | No | 16.03K |
| KmafiaFANS | Yes | 15.04K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hyperliquid-airdop-by
| Smartventurecap |
| Yes |
| 11.35K |
| WillFS | No | 9K |
| lejcles | Yes | 7.97K |
| oklmltd | Yes | 5.92K |
| mewmew1 | No | 5.38K |
| LALISA1 | Yes | 4.94K |
| wahtsit | Yes | 4.49K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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