Analytics
Yes is at 86.5%, down 8 points from 94.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 86.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 57% on 8 Oct 2026.
$124.08 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.09K since listing. The order book holds $10.55K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 59 trades, $733.81 bought Yes and $79.84 bought No.
The largest Yes position is DuneMentat with 182 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 432.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 94.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 432.28 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 182 |
| sweetj | Yes | 159.3 |
Alaska Ballot Measure 3 is a citizen-initiated measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Alaska in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend state law to provide that only a person who is a citizen of the United States may vote in any election in Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-passes-ballot-measure-banning-noncitizens-from-voting
| sunnynotbunny |
| Yes |
| 71.08 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 56.11 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | No | 30 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| aliiz | Yes | 21 |
| johnashbough | Yes | 20 |
| bechamel | No | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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