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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | Yes | 213.15 | $0.352 | $106.57 | +$31.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.21 | $0.199 | $14 | 30m ago |
| Yes |
| 209.5 |
| $0.215 |
| $80.66 |
| +$35.66 |
 Will Vander Loubet win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election? | No | 83.35 | $0.720 | $68.35 | +$8.35 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 160.53 | $0.374 | $58.59 | -$1.41 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? | No | 86.97 | $0.690 | $58.27 | -$1.73 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | No | 125.21 | $0.479 | $56.97 | -$3.03 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | No | 83.33 | $0.360 | $54.58 | +$24.58 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? | No | 52.63 | $0.570 | $51.37 | +$21.37 |
 Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 76.59 | $0.248 | $47.49 | +$28.49 |
 Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 46.88 | $0.640 | $45.77 | +$15.77 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.090 | $43.33 | +$28.33 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 189.69 | $0.158 | $38.89 | +$8.89 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 44.78 | $0.670 | $38.73 | +$8.73 |
 Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election? | Yes | 50.29 | $0.541 | $37.97 | +$10.77 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 40.71 | $0.737 | $37.47 | +$7.47 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | Yes | 58.17 | $0.241 | $36.07 | +$22.07 |
 Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026? | Yes | 175.64 | $0.085 | $36.01 | +$21.01 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 60 | $0.500 | $35.7 | +$5.7 |
 Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? | Yes | 39.74 | $0.755 | $34.37 | +$4.37 |
 Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 0–5%? | No | 38.46 | $0.780 | $34.25 | +$4.25 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | Yes | 65 | $0.400 | $33.48 | +$7.48 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026? | Yes | 45.8 | $0.655 | $32.98 | +$2.98 |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 39.62 | $0.252 | $32.48 | +$22.48 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%? | Over | 52.63 | $0.570 | $32.37 | +$2.37 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 50.86 | $0.590 | $32.3 | +$2.3 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No| buy |
| 125.21 |
| $0.479 |
| $60 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 111.59 | $0.533 | $59.46 | 1h ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.59 | $0.538 | $60 | 1h ago |
 Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Yes | sell | 140.07 | $0.200 | $28.01 | 4h ago |
 Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?No | buy | 92 | $0.250 | $23 | 8h ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 160.53 | $0.374 | $60 | 1d ago |
 Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?Yes | buy | 116.32 | $0.088 | $10.2 | 1d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.67 | $0.836 | $34 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | 1d ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.400 | $26 | 2d ago |
 Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | 2d ago |
 Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 143.57 | $0.139 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | 3d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Yes | buy | 46.11 | $0.651 | $30 | 4d ago |
| Will Vander Loubet win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?No | buy | 41.1 | $0.730 | $30 | 4d ago |
| Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?Yes | buy | 39.74 | $0.755 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 39.62 | $0.252 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | 5d ago |
 Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 50.85 | $0.590 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 0–5%?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.780 | $30 | 5d ago |
 Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | 5d ago |
 Will CDU win at least 26% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 92.31 | $0.130 | $12 | 5d ago |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | buy | 144.29 | $0.208 | $30 | 6d ago |
| Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | 6d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | sell | 31 | $0.840 | $26.03 | 6d ago |
 Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | 7d ago |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Yes | sell | 78.94 | $0.270 | $21.31 | 8d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 24.58 | $0.590 | $14.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Yes | buy | 140.08 | $0.214 | $30 | 8d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.050 | $7 | 8d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.480 | $30 | 8d ago |
 Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.840 | $17 | 9d ago |
 Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.800 | $30 | 9d ago |
 Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 280.91 | $0.012 | $3.5 | 9d ago |
 Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.087 | $8.97 | 9d ago |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?Yes | buy | 175.64 | $0.085 | $15 | 9d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Yes | buy | 35.86 | $0.335 | $12 | 9d ago |
 Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 35–40%?Yes | buy | 63.64 | $0.110 | $7 | 9d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15 | 10d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?Yes | sell | 78.94 | $0.410 | $32.37 | 10d ago |
 Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 55.17 | $0.290 | $16 | 10d ago |
| Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | buy | 43.29 | $0.254 | $11 | 10d ago |
| Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | buy | 33.31 | $0.240 | $8 | 10d ago |
| Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?Yes | buy | 58.17 | $0.241 | $14 | 11d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | 11d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No | buy | 41.37 | $0.580 | $24 | 11d ago |