Analytics
Yes is at 38%, down 6.5 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 121 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 29 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 55.5%; a month before, 32.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 39% on 18 Sep 2026.
Tim O'Hare ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner”. Alisa Simmons leads at 58%.
$10.82K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $53.59K since listing. The order book holds $32.22K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.55K bought Yes and $7.93K bought No; the largest was a $2.94K buy of No at 39.0¢.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 75.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 121 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 44.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 38.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.28K |
| paddaa | No | 2.16K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 1.76K |
The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-tarrant-county-judge-election-winner-20260626003334863
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 1.06K |
| cosmicsteaks | Yes | 1.04K |
| Hot-SkullHomelessBegger | No | 761.23 |
| donthackme | No | 759.23 |
| sunnynotbunny | Yes | 593 |
| PolyArbi | Yes | 392.71 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 271.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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