Nothing here has moved by more than its normal daily swing. The prices below are where the market has settled for now.
Down 9.6 points in a week, 7.3× a normal week for this contract. Volume is 4.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 4.5 points in a week, 4.3× a normal week for this contract. Volume is 4.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 1.2 points in 24 hours, 2.9× its normal daily swing. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 4.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
Little change: +0.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 4.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
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| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Italy | 81% | 98% |
| Canada | 96% | 97% |
| Austria | 94% | 97% |
| Germany | 95% | 97% |
| Moldova | 91% | 95% |
| Israel | 90% | 86% |
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 98¢/98¢ | $111, $162 | 99¢fills $162 | 99¢fills $162 |
| Canada | 95¢/99.2¢ | $1.9K, $3.1K | 99.49¢+0.3 | 99.68¢fills $3.1K |
| Austria | 94¢/99.8¢ | $307, $841 | 99.89¢fills $841 | 99.89¢fills $841 |
| Germany | 95¢/99¢ | $149, $559 | 99.69¢fills $559 | 99.69¢fills $559 |
| Moldova | 92¢/99¢ | $61, $787 | 99.63¢fills $787 | 99.63¢fills $787 |
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs
On Polymarket, “Eurovision 2027 Participants” has Italy in front at 98%, on $8.6K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 14 open markets across 1 Polymarket event, which together traded $8.6K over the same 24 hours and hold $15.6K of resting liquidity. Prices as of 27 Oct 2026, 18:37 UTC.
Each row is one settled Polymarket market on the Eurovision winner: the outcome priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before the result was known, and the eventual winner's own price at the same moments.
The day-before favourite lost all three contests scored here; the eventual result traded at 13.3% on average that day.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 98% | — | — | $31 | $1.6K |
| Market | Resolved as | Total volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eurovision 2027 City | Burgas | $238K | 13 Aug 2026 |
| What will be said during the Eurovision finals? | Points 25+ times | $46.7K | 17 May 2026 |
| Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner | Bulgaria | $248K | 17 May 2026 |
| Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner | Israel | $255K |
Each recorded move in the Eurovision room beside the room's own sourced events near it: reports by when they were published, calendar and record entries by the date they name. Close in time is not a cause: Vultax has not confirmed why any of these prices moved.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
This room reads every open Polymarket market on the Eurovision Song Contest and sorts it into the winner, the televote, the jury and the placings, and who takes part and qualifies. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.
Eurovision is one of the largest markets Polymarket lists: its 2026 winner market traded about $194 million. The score is half jury and half public vote, so a song can win one half and lose the contest, and the separate televote and jury markets often disagree with the winner market.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
| 31 Dec 2026 |
| Yes98¢No2.0¢ |
| Canada | 97% | — | — | $0 | $3.2K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes97¢No2.7¢ |
| Austria | 97% | — | — | $0 | $671 | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes97¢No3.2¢ |
| Germany | 97% | — | — | $0 | $1.6K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes97¢No3.2¢ |
| Moldova | 95% | — | — | $0 | $286 | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes95¢No4.9¢ |
| Israel | 86% | — | — | $40 | $1.7K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes86¢No14¢ |
| Belgium | 85% | — | — | $709 | $1.1K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes85¢No16¢ |
| North Macedonia | 77% | — | — | $20 | $213 | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes77¢No23¢ |
| Eurovision Winner 2026 | Bulgaria | $194M | 17 May 2026 |
| Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory | 150+ | $62.1K | 17 May 2026 |
| Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner | Bulgaria | $8.4M | 17 May 2026 |
| Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country | Finland | $89.6K | 17 May 2026 |
| Eurovision 3rd Place 2026 | Romania | $74.8K | 17 May 2026 |
| Eurovision 2026: Top 10 | Australia | $3.2M | 17 May 2026 |
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the day ending at this daily close. Cause unconfirmed.
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
