Georgia Bulldogs: Up 4.3 points in a week, 4.1× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Up 4.3 points in a week, 4.1× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days.
Little change: −0.6 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4.
Little change: +0.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4.
Little change: +0.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4.
Trade College Football on paper, free
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Each line is the price of one outcome on Polymarket, read as a probability. Hover or tap to read every line on the same day.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | 11% | 17% |
| Texas Longhorns | 13% | 14% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14% | 14% |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 14% | 14% |
| Miami Hurricanes | 10% | 12% |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 11% | 7.3% |
Every box is one Polymarket event in this room. The bigger the box, the more was traded in the last 24 hours.
The same question on both venues: College football national champion.
Gap = Polymarket minus Kalshi, in probability points. Kalshi is read at the middle of its quote. The two contracts settle on their own rules and fees, so a gap is a reading, not a free trade. Kalshi market
Vultax Research: what Kalshi and Polymarket price gaps are worth after fees
The order book behind “NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion”, read a minute ago.
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | 17¢/17¢ | $577 · $28.5K | 18¢+0.5 | |
| Texas Longhorns | 14¢/15¢ | $664 · $55.4K | 16¢+0.6 | |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 13¢/14¢ | $684 · $48.3K | 14¢+0.1 | |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 13¢/14¢ | $65.5K · $2.0K | 14¢+0.3 | |
| Miami Hurricanes | 12¢/12¢ | $417 · $6.3K | 13¢+1.1 |
Average price a buy order of that size would pay against the offers resting now, and how many points that is above the best offer. “Within 2¢” is the dollars resting near the touch on the bid and the offer side.
Vultax Research: how much size prediction market order books hold
Biggest holders in this market's two leading outcomes, valued at the current price. Open a name for the wallet's record on Vultax.
7 more positions in this market
Who holds the most on each side, valued at the current price, with each wallet's record one click away.
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Prints of $1,000 and more in the room's busiest markets, newest first.
9 more large trades in this room
Each print of $1,000 and more as it happens: who, which side, what price.
Every move in this room that cleared Vi IQ's "notable" line, stamped when it happened. Vultax has recorded this room since 20 Sep 2026.
2 earlier moves on record
The dated record of every meaningful move in this room: what moved, by how much against its own normal, and whether money came with it.
On Polymarket, “NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion” has Georgia Bulldogs in front at 17%, on $18.0K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 7,635 open markets across 173 Polymarket events, which together traded $47.8K over the same 24 hours and hold $2.3M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 21 Sep 2026, 06:33 UTC.
The title, team by team
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | 17% | +1.8 | +4.3 | $3.7K | $145K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes17¢No83¢ |
| Texas Longhorns |
Who makes the field, and who wins each league
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes | 69% | +1.5 | +2.5 | $250 | $27.0K | — | Yes69¢No31¢ |
The player award, name by name
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidad Chambliss | 22% | −3.5 | +15 | $289 | $4.3K | — | Yes22¢No78¢ |
The slate, by money traded
Largest price changes in points, counted only on markets that traded at least $1,000 in the same 24 hours. The number beside each move is that market’s 24-hour volume.
Change in probability points since the same time the previous day
Change in probability points since the same time the previous week
The most recently settled Polymarket markets on this subject, with the outcome that paid and the total traded over the market’s life. A settled market is the only place a prediction market can be checked against what happened.
| Market | Resolved as | Total volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois vs. Arizona | Over | $46.0K | 20 Sep 2026 |
| Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic | $503K | 20 Sep 2026 |
| Colorado vs. Northwestern | Northwestern | $352K | 20 Sep 2026 |
| Akron vs. Minnesota | Minnesota | $70.4K | 20 Sep 2026 |
| BYU vs. Colorado State | BYU | $148K | 20 Sep 2026 |
This room reads every open Polymarket market tagged to college football and sorts it into the national championship, the playoff field and conference races, the Heisman and the games on the slate. The title market is priced beside the same question on Kalshi.
A price is the cost of a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. In a market with many named outcomes the prices should add up to roughly 100%; a gap is the venue's spread and fees, not a free lunch.
With an expanded playoff the title market is really two questions at once: who gets in, and who wins three or four games once there. A single loss no longer ends a season, so prices fall less on an upset than they used to, and conference championship weekend moves the board more than any regular Saturday because byes are decided there.
Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.
| 14% |
| — |
| −1.0 |
| $471 |
| $283K |
| 26 Jan 2027 |
| Yes14¢No86¢ |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14% | — | — | $464 | $266K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes14¢No87¢ |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 14% | — | — | $417 | $89.0K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes14¢No87¢ |
| Miami Hurricanes | 12% | — | −1.2 | $716 | $78.5K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 7.3% | 0 | +0.7 | $591 | $15.5K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes7.3¢No93¢ |
| Mississippi Rebels | 7.0% | 0 | +4.7 | $2.2K | $16.2K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes7.0¢No93¢ |
| Oregon Ducks | 6.3% | +1.1 | 0 | $503 | $14.8K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes6.3¢No94¢ |
| LSU Tigers | 4.2% | −2.9 | −9.2 | $2.2K | $19.0K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes4.2¢No96¢ |
| USC Trojans | 2.2% | 0 | −0.7 | $403 | $14.4K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes2.2¢No98¢ |
| Florida Gators | 2.1% | +0.9 | +1.7 | $740 | $16.6K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes2.1¢No98¢ |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 1.8% | — | — | $701 | $15.3K | 26 Jan 2027 | Yes1.8¢No98¢ |
4 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | 49% | +17 | +42 | $0 | $607 | — | Yes49¢No52¢ |
| Notre Dame | 34% | −2.0 | — | $0 | $1.9K | — | Yes34¢No67¢ |
| Georgia | 30% | +4.0 | +5.0 | $103 | $1.5K | — | Yes30¢No70¢ |
| Miami | 30% | −2.5 | −37 | $0 | $978 | — | Yes30¢No70¢ |
| Ohio St. | 28% | −10 | −9.5 | $0 | $672 | — | Yes28¢No72¢ |
| Texas | 25% | −7.5 | −0.5 | $0 | $857 | — | Yes25¢No75¢ |
| Indiana | 17% | — | — | $0 | $673 | — | Yes17¢No84¢ |
| LSU | 13% | — | — | $0 | $224 | — | Yes13¢No88¢ |
| Alabama | 12% | — | +0.5 | $0 | $442 | — | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Texas A&M | 12% | — | +1.0 | $0 | $737 | — | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| Oklahoma | 11% | −0.5 | −0.5 | $0 | $648 | — | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| USC | 11% | 0 | 0 | $0 | $456 | — | Yes11¢No89¢ |
38 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
3 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| Louisville Cardinals | 6.9% | −1.7 | +1.9 | $0 | $1.2K | — | Yes6.9¢No93¢ |
| SMU Mustangs | 6% | −4.0 | −1.0 | $60 | $3.3K | — | Yes6¢No94¢ |
| Boston College Eagles | 5.5% | 0 | −0.5 | $0 | $5.8K | — | Yes5.5¢No94¢ |
| Clemson Tigers | 5.1% | +1.4 | +3.4 | $0 | $3.0K | — | Yes5.1¢No95¢ |
| Duke Blue Devils | 5.0% | +1.1 | +3.1 | $0 | $8.0K | — | Yes5.0¢No95¢ |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 4.0% | −5.8 | −1.1 | $284 | $487 | — | Yes4.0¢No96¢ |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 3.9% | — | −0.5 | $0 | $1.1K | — | Yes3.9¢No96¢ |
9 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 90% | +0.5 | −0.5 | $0 | $1.2K | — | Yes90¢No10¢ |
| Georgia | 85% | +1.0 | — | $0 | $1.0K | — | Yes85¢No15¢ |
| Miami | 85% | −3.0 | +2.0 | $0 | $1.1K | — | Yes85¢No16¢ |
| Indiana | 83% | −1.0 | −1.0 | $0 | $985 | — | Yes83¢No17¢ |
| Ohio St. | 80% | +3.0 | +2.5 | $0 | $1.2K | — | Yes80¢No20¢ |
| Texas | 74% | +2.5 | −5.5 | $221 | $1.1K | — | Yes74¢No26¢ |
| Texas Tech | 60% | +6.5 | — | $0 | $1.1K | — | Yes60¢No40¢ |
| Ole Miss | 56% | — | +26 | $0 | $1.1K | — | Yes56¢No44¢ |
42 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 51% | +0.5 | — | $0 | $1.2K | — | Yes51¢No49¢ |
| Georgia | 50% | — | −9.0 | $0 | $4 | — | Yes50¢No50¢ |
| Indiana | 46% | −13 | +14 | $0 | $131 | — | Yes46¢No54¢ |
| Ohio St. | 42% | — | — | $0 | $171 | — | Yes42¢No59¢ |
| Miami | 41% | −23 | +17 | $0 | $70 | — | Yes41¢No60¢ |
| Texas | 40% | +0.5 | +4.5 | $0 | $163 | — | Yes40¢No61¢ |
| Texas Tech | 30% | — | −30 | $0 | $296 | — | Yes30¢No71¢ |
| Alabama | 14% | +1.0 | — | $0 | $49 | — | Yes14¢No86¢ |
42 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio St. | 64% | +2.5 | +4.5 | $0 | $341 | 14 Jan 2027 | Yes64¢No36¢ |
| Georgia | 64% | −3.0 | −9.0 | $72 | $394 | 14 Jan 2027 | Yes64¢No37¢ |
| Notre Dame | 64% | −9.5 | −9.0 | $0 | $316 | 14 Jan 2027 | Yes64¢No37¢ |
| Texas | 63% | −13 | −13 | $0 | $440 | 14 Jan 2027 | Yes63¢No38¢ |
| Miami | 60% | +8.0 | −9.5 | $160 | $347 | 14 Jan 2027 | Yes60¢No41¢ |
| Indiana | 60% | +4.0 | −5.0 | $0 | $371 | 14 Jan 2027 | Yes60¢No41¢ |
| Texas A&M | 57% | −4.5 | +32 | $0 | $194 | 14 Jan 2027 | Yes57¢No43¢ |
| Texas Tech | 51% | −13 | −1.0 | $0 | $225 | 14 Jan 2027 | Yes51¢No50¢ |
42 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 58% | +0.5 | +26 | $0 | $393 | — | Yes58¢No42¢ |
| Miami | 50% | +24 | +24 | $0 | $98 | — | Yes50¢No50¢ |
| Notre Dame | 49% | — | −12 | $0 | $351 | — | Yes49¢No51¢ |
| Ohio St. | 45% | +6.5 | +1.0 | $40 | $366 | — | Yes45¢No55¢ |
| Texas | 42% | −1.5 | +0.5 | $0 | $333 | — | Yes42¢No58¢ |
| Georgia | 42% | −11 | +5.5 | $0 | $502 | — | Yes42¢No59¢ |
| Miami | 36% | — | +1.0 | $0 | $923 | — | Yes36¢No65¢ |
| Oregon | 30% | +3.5 | +18 | $96 | $188 | — | Yes30¢No71¢ |
42 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Longhorns | 28% | — | −2.0 | $0 | $34.0K | — | Yes28¢No72¢ |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 28% | — | +0.5 | $0 | $21.3K | — | Yes28¢No72¢ |
| Florida Gators | 16% | +12 | +10 | $0 | $4.5K | — | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 16% | +12 | +12 | $20 | $4.9K | — | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14% | +11 | +11 | $0 | $5.4K | — | Yes14¢No86¢ |
| Ole Miss Rebels | 11% | −25 | +5.0 | $0 | $5.9K | — | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 9% | −4.5 | +0.5 | $152 | $6.4K | — | Yes9¢No91¢ |
| LSU Tigers | 7.5% | −5.0 | −8.0 | $35 | $1.2K | — | Yes7.5¢No93¢ |
8 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
31 further markets matched this board and are not shown.
| Darian Mensah | 18% | −6.0 | +1.0 | $405 | $3.6K | — | Yes18¢No83¢ |
| Jeremiah Smith | 8.5% | −4.0 | −2.0 | $89 | $931 | — | Yes8.5¢No92¢ |
| Gunner Stockton | 6.6% | −2.5 | −0.8 | $0 | $4.1K | — | Yes6.6¢No93¢ |
| Arch Manning | 5.9% | 0 | −7.7 | $11 | $1.1K | — | Yes5.9¢No94¢ |
| Malachi Toney | 5.7% | −1.8 | −5.0 | $264 | $1.2K | — | Yes5.7¢No94¢ |
| Rocco Becht | 5.1% | −5.0 | −1.1 | $0 | $8.6K | — | Yes5.1¢No95¢ |
| Byrum Brown | 5% | 0 | −1.3 | $0 | $5.3K | — | Yes5¢No95¢ |
| Julian Sayin | 5.0% | — | 0 | $0 | $1.0K | — | Yes5.0¢No95¢ |
| Austin Mack | 5.0% | 0 | −1.8 | $0 | $7.5K | — | Yes5.0¢No95¢ |
19 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Ten | 40% | +13 | +6.0 | $0 | $168 | — | Yes40¢No61¢ |
| SEC | 36% | — | +4.0 | $0 | $171 | — | Yes36¢No65¢ |
| ACC | 28% | −26 | −12 | $0 | $332 | — | Yes28¢No73¢ |
| Sun Belt | 12% | −6.8 | −12 | $0 | $111 | — | Yes12¢No88¢ |
| FBS Independents | 11% | +1.5 | −13 | $0 | $130 | — | Yes11¢No89¢ |
| Big 12 | 9.6% | 0 | 0 | $0 | $101 | — | Yes9.6¢No90¢ |
| American | 9.5% | −7.4 | −7.3 | $0 | $101 | — | Yes9.5¢No91¢ |
| Pac-12 | 6.5% | 0 | −6.6 | $0 | $80 | — | Yes6.5¢No94¢ |
| Mountain West | 4.9% | 0 | −7.7 | $0 | $117 | — | Yes4.9¢No95¢ |
| Conference USA | 3.6% | 0 | −20 | $0 | $102 | — | Yes3.6¢No96¢ |
1 further priced outcome in this market are not shown.
1 further market matched this board and are not shown.
| Coastal Carolina | 44% | — | — | $903 | $10.8K | 24 Sep 2026 | Buy44¢ |
| North Dakota vs. Nebraska | Nebraska | $65.9K | 20 Sep 2026 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | $105K | 20 Sep 2026 |
| Western Michigan vs. Rice | Western Michigan | $160K | 20 Sep 2026 |
| Florida vs. Auburn | Florida | $1.1M | 20 Sep 2026 |
| Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston | Sam Houston | $93.0K | 20 Sep 2026 |
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.