Analytics
Yes is at 14.9%, down 20 points from 35% when the market opened on 22 Apr 2026.
Across the 184 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 14 May 2026 and the lowest 4% on 6 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.8%; a month before, 11.8%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 16% on 8 Jun 2026.
Miami Hurricanes ranks third of the 16 outcomes in “NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion”. Georgia Bulldogs leads at 16.9%; Ohio State Buckeyes is at 15.5%.
$41.63 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $96.01K since listing. The order book holds $100.34K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.34K bought Yes and $19.15K bought No; the largest was a $3.02K buy of No at 83.2¢.
The largest Yes position is Swift Maven 1848 with 40.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 48.1K. Ten wallets hold 92% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Jan 2027, 94 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 3:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 184 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 35.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 14.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 48.07K |
| Swift Maven 1848 | Yes | 40.58K |
| ALPY01 | Yes | 7.33K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-2026-national-champion
4 more outcomes, none above 0.9%.
| onlyinvegas | No | 6.12K |
| milkteaboba | Yes | 4.75K |
| JustADonk | No | 4.31K |
| Saltyballs | Yes | 3.97K |
| cowcat | Yes | 1.86K |
| Nooserac | No | 1.67K |
| Emerald Kestrel 00F9 | No | 1.59K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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