Analytics
Yes is at 6.3%, down 32 points from 38% when the market opened on 19 Apr 2026.
Across the 189 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 9 Jun 2026 and the lowest 3.9% on 18 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.3%; a month before, 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 44.5% on 1 Jun 2026.
Texas Longhorns ranks seventh of the 16 outcomes in “NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion”. Georgia Bulldogs leads at 16.7%; Miami Hurricanes is at 15.5%.
$1K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $97.18K since listing. The order book holds $7.02K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.52K bought Yes and $28.9K bought No; the largest was a $2.95K buy of No at 79.2¢.
The largest Yes position is Swift Maven 1848 with 45.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 60.8K. Ten wallets hold 92.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Jan 2027, 89 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 189 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 38.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 6.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 60.82K |
| Swift Maven 1848 | Yes | 45.52K |
| milkteaboba | Yes | 14.92K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-2026-national-champion
4 more outcomes, none above 0.3%.
| Emerald Kestrel 00F9 | No | 14.4K |
| chongchongpanda | No | 5.47K |
| ndb1 | Yes | 5.26K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 2.43K |
| sneakyfish42 | Yes | 2.24K |
| BT123 | Yes | 2.2K |
| onlyinvegas | No | 1.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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