Analytics
Yes is at 31.1%, up 28 points from 3.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 81 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 7 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.7%; a month before, 8.1%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 50% on 16 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$159.69 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $713.61 since listing. The order book holds $1.35K, with a 57.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 21 trades, $9.76 bought Yes and $300.61 bought No.
The largest Yes position is oliman2 with 111 shares; the largest No position is Suburban-Ecliptic with 80.
Trading closes on 21 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 3.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 26.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oliman2 | Yes | 111 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | No | 80 |
| bZk0Uo | No | 46.2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
38 more markets, none above 13.5%.
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20.31 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 14.9 |
| erdos-baconator | No | 10 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.6 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 0.02 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
