Analytics
Yes is at 58%, up 8 points from 50% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 83 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39.5%; a month before, 42.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 46.5% on 19 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$144.99 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.76K since listing. The order book holds $277.66, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 108 trades, $398.01 bought Yes and $495.57 bought No.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 156 shares; the largest No position is Gaditima with 157. Ten wallets hold 86.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gaditima | No | 157 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 155.92 |
| tilazczz | Yes | 137.63 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
38 more markets, none above 11.9%.
| Deadheadbucky |
| No |
| 93 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 64.95 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 48.81 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 44 |
| ZhouCD | No | 40.01 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 40 |
| macrosteaks | No | 28.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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