Analytics
Yes is at 13%, down 12 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21.5%; a month before, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 73% on 5 Sep 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$1 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.83K since listing. The order book holds $531.21, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 124 trades, $582.58 bought Yes and $1.87K bought No.
The largest Yes position is oliman2 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is SmartBoyBilly with 600. Ten wallets hold 95.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 24.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oliman2 | Yes | 1.06K |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 600 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 399.07 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
37 more markets, none above 17.5%.
| Hyperlong |
| Yes |
| 380 |
| macrosteaks | No | 351.67 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | No | 178.71 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 120.51 |
| Violet Maven 063C | No | 100 |
| Jesetrading | Yes | 40 |
| bananabreakfast | Yes | 36.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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