Analytics
Trading ended on 30 Oct 2026 with Yes at 41.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 78 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.5% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 8 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.5%; a month before, 31%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 70.5% on 19 Sep 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$5.58K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is oliman2 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is tilazczz with 616. Ten wallets hold 97.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 2:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 24.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 40.0% |
38 more markets, none above 13.5%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oliman2 | Yes | 1.2K |
| tilazczz | No | 616.19 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 580 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
| Hyperlong |
| No |
| 250 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 184.28 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 104.97 |
| Robbb | No | 58.66 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 47 |
| DuneMentat | No | 20 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 14.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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