Analytics
Trading ended on 23 Sep 2026 with Yes at 26.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 11 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17%; a month before, 14.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 27.5% on 11 Oct 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$349.19 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is macrosteaks with 80 shares; the largest No position is tilazczz with 51.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 24.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
38 more markets, none above 17.5%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks | Yes | 80 |
| tilazczz | No | 50.68 |
| Talophex | No | 50.46 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
| Cruel-Vegetarianism |
| Yes |
| 46.67 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 46 |
| justmeandme | No | 41.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 20.46 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20 |
| thecaricature | No | 20 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | 5.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
