Analytics
Yes is at 67%, up 43 points from 24% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 81 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 78% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 12 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 60%; a month before, 37.5%. Its largest one-day move was 58 points up, to 77.5% on 16 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$370.99 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.77K since listing. The order book holds $1.08K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 129 trades, $601.89 bought Yes and $1.08K bought No.
The largest Yes position is oliman2 with 401 shares; the largest No position is tilazczz with 256. Ten wallets hold 88.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 24.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 67.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oliman2 | Yes | 400.84 |
| Deadheadbucky | Yes | 377.5 |
| tilazczz | No | 256.48 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
38 more markets, none above 17.5%.
| macrosteaks |
| No |
| 143.35 |
| Hyperlong | No | 139.5 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 86.11 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 69.73 |
| ZhouCD | No | 40 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 38.78 |
| Fihdrzgdd | No | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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