Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.341 | $554.52 | +$89.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 847.49 |
| $0.169 |
| $334.76 |
| +$191.37 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 653.14 | $0.151 | $256.03 | +$157.17 |
 Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | Yes | 1K | $0.090 | $195 | +$105 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 160.98 | $0.559 | $92.56 | +$2.61 |
 Will Miami (FL) be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? | Yes | 377.5 | $0.235 | $83.05 | -$5.56 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | Yes | 955.18 | $0.134 | $82.15 | -$46.1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 161 | $0.441 | $80.5 | +$9.46 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 750 | $0.090 | $78.75 | +$11.25 |
 Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? | Yes | 200 | $0.300 | $73 | +$13 |
 Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.240 | $63 | +$15 |
 Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | Yes | 100 | $0.530 | $59.5 | +$6.5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 150 | $0.350 | $59.25 | +$6.75 |
| Will Texas Tech be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? | Yes | 108.79 | $0.229 | $57.11 | +$32.2 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 371.85 | $0.048 | $55.59 | +$37.81 |
| Will Ohio St. be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? | No | 93 | $0.580 | $54.41 | +$0.47 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 957.79 | $0.036 | $53.64 | +$19.01 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 877.18 | $0.332 | $53.07 | -$237.81 |
 Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.5K | $0.005 | $43.75 | -$24.21 |
 Will Oregon Ducks Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship? | Yes | 272.3 | $0.228 | $40.85 | -$21.28 |
| Will Oregon be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? | No | 45.86 | $0.530 | $40.65 | +$16.37 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 500 | $0.042 | $33.25 | +$12.25 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 750 | $0.028 | $28.88 | +$7.88 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5K | $0.006 | $27.5 | -$4.92 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | No | 27.99 | $0.684 | $26.3 | +$7.16 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.350 |
| $52.5 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.266 | $1.74 | 1d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.091 | $105.03 | 1d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | 1d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 34.17 | $0.200 | $6.83 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.400 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | 2d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.261 | $39.18 | 2d ago |
| Will Texas Tech be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | sell | 43.25 | $0.550 | $23.79 | 6d ago |
| Will Miami (FL) be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.440 | $17.6 | 8d ago |
| Will Texas Tech be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | sell | 47.96 | $0.492 | $23.58 | 8d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.261 | $7.83 | 9d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 116.79 | $0.272 | $31.73 | 15d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 127.3 | $0.417 | $53.09 | 15d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 110.7 | $0.320 | $35.42 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.420 | $50.4 | 15d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 371.85 | $0.048 | $17.78 | 15d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 101.07 | $0.206 | $20.83 | 15d ago |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 957.79 | $0.036 | $34.63 | 15d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35.58 | $0.455 | $16.18 | 15d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 469.03 | $0.193 | $90.41 | 15d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35.21 | $0.170 | $5.97 | 15d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.394 | $118.2 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.520 | $28.6 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 592.84 | $0.520 | $308.32 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 298 | $0.570 | $169.86 | 18d ago |
| Will Texas Tech be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.229 | $45.8 | 18d ago |
| Will Miami (FL) be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | buy | 397.5 | $0.240 | $95.4 | 18d ago |
| Will Ohio St. be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?No | buy | 93 | $0.580 | $53.94 | 18d ago |
| Will Oregon be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?No | buy | 45.86 | $0.530 | $24.29 | 18d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 393.99 | $0.323 | $127.29 | 19d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 227.98 | $0.134 | $30.6 | 19d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.680 | $339.99 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 675 | $0.579 | $390.5 | 22d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.250 | $25 | 23d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.362 | $36.2 | 23d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 107.99 | $0.410 | $44.25 | 23d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 191.91 | $0.133 | $25.53 | 23d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No | buy | 110 | $0.299 | $32.9 | 24d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 25d ago |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 25d ago |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Yes | buy | 269.22 | $0.082 | $22.09 | 25d ago |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes | buy | 205.18 | $0.211 | $43.36 | 25d ago |
| Will Oregon Ducks Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?Yes | buy | 272.3 | $0.228 | $62.13 | 26d ago |
| Will Indiana Hoosiers Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.230 | $2.07 | 26d ago |
| Will Miami (FL) be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 26d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 121.53 | $0.201 | $24.37 | 27d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 65.17 | $0.154 | $10.06 | 27d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 415 | $0.140 | $58.1 | 29d ago |