Analytics
Trading ended on 23 Sep 2026 with Yes at 6.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.1% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.1% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.1%; a month before, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 6.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$40 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 40 shares; the largest No position is justmeandme with 20.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 3:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 6.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
37 more markets, none above 13.5%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thecaricature | Yes | 40 |
| justmeandme | No | 20 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | No | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
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