Analytics
Yes is at 62%, up 12 points from 50% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 32% on 7 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 57.5%; a month before, 52%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 32% on 7 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$95.91 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.65K since listing. The order book holds $1.61K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 177 trades, $1.12K bought Yes and $964.48 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Gaditima with 246 shares; the largest No position is extractive-manatee with 286. Ten wallets hold 94% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 62.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | No | 285.74 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 246.14 |
| Violet Maven 063C | No | 120 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
38 more markets, none above 13.5%.
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 82.84 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 66.78 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 59.31 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 59 |
| ZhouCD | No | 56.33 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 54 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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