Analytics
Trading ended on 28 Oct 2026 with Yes at 57%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 62%; a month before, 39.5%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 69.5% on 16 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$1.3K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 90 shares; the largest No position is IUSEBOT with 55.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 4:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 25.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 57.0% |
38 more markets, none above 13.5%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 89.92 |
| IUSEBOT | No | 54.79 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 40.4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
| bettymarket |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 20 |
| Fihdrzgdd | No | 20 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 19.98 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 13 |
| erdos-baconator | No | 12 |
| Garmonbozia | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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