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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 87.2 | $0.820 | $69.59 | -$1.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 19.64 | $0.500 | $9.82 | 6m ago |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.768 |
| $37.38 |
| -$1.03 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? | No | 60 | $0.645 | $35.7 | -$3 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C? | V | 60 | $0.680 | $32.1 | -$8.7 |
 Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 40 | $0.801 | $31.48 | -$0.56 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September? | Yes | 47 | $0.820 | $31.26 | -$7.29 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 40 | $0.774 | $29.34 | -$1.62 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 50.01 | $0.610 | $29.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals? | Yes | 59 | $0.585 | $29.21 | -$5.31 |
| Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? | Yes | 60 | $0.457 | $29.1 | +$1.7 |
 Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 45.76 | $0.769 | $28.6 | -$6.59 |
 Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | No | 50 | $0.640 | $27.25 | -$4.75 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.560 | $26.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.610 | $25.75 | -$4.75 |
 Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | Yes | 50 | $0.510 | $25.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 35.19 | $0.757 | $24.11 | -$2.54 |
 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? | No | 50 | $0.590 | $23.25 | -$6.25 |
 Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | No | 30 | $0.820 | $22.65 | -$1.95 |
 Will Oregon be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season? | No | 30 | $0.760 | $22.65 | -$0.15 |
 Will Rayan Cherki (Man City) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season? | No | 30 | $0.820 | $22.5 | -$2.1 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.450 | $22.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 50 | $0.647 | $22.2 | -$10.15 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.492 | $21.75 | -$2.85 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.425 | $20.7 | -$4.8 |
 Will Nebraska have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.830 | $20.54 | -$4.35 |
Will Montana have the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.15 |
| 4h ago |
 Will the season series between the Ravens and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.550 | $0.12 | 4h ago |
 Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.030 | $0.03 | 4h ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1.32 | $0.033 | $0.04 | 4h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?No | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | 4h ago |
 Will the Democrats win Kent County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | 6h ago |
| Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?No | sell | 4 | $0.180 | $0.72 | 6h ago |
 Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 6h ago |
 Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.180 | $0.38 | 7h ago |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.210 | $0.43 | 8h ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.860 | $1.38 | 8h ago |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes | sell | 2.35 | $0.290 | $0.68 | 8h ago |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 12.42 | $0.530 | $6.58 | 19h ago |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.260 | $0.23 | 19h ago |
 Will Quentin Johnston have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?No | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 1d ago |
 Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.830 | $5.62 | 1d ago |
 Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?No | sell | 12.15 | $0.590 | $7.17 | 1d ago |
| Will Michigan State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 45%-50%?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 1d ago |
| Will Oklahoma State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 1d ago |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the Titans win the season series against the Colts during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Titans win the season series against the Colts during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.003 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No | sell | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 80 | $0.600 | $48 | 1d ago |
 Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.062 | $1.24 | 1d ago |
 Will Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.024 | $0.72 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.009 | $0.27 | 1d ago |
 Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 3.83 | $0.003 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.003 | $0.09 | 1d ago |
 Will Coco Gauff advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.410 | $0.29 | 1d ago |
 Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.012 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.004 | $0.08 | 1d ago |
 Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.130 | $0.63 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 12.25 | $0.620 | $7.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?No | sell | 38 | $0.500 | $19 | 2d ago |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.490 | $13.23 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 8.23 | $0.200 | $1.65 | 2d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?No | sell | 2 | $0.560 | $1.12 | 2d ago |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.150 | $3.9 | 2d ago |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 2d ago |
 Will Juwan Johnson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 15.64 | $0.770 | $12.04 | 2d ago |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 2d ago |