Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 26.6K | $0.001 | $39.91 | +$13.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.240 | $36 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 988.75 |
| $0.091 |
| $36.58 |
| -$53.87 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 400.02 | $0.087 | $33.4 | -$1.4 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.39K | $0.031 | $31.96 | -$10.75 |
 Will LSU be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? | No | 40 | $0.800 | $30.4 | -$1.6 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.08K | $0.044 | $28.59 | -$18.94 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 440.6 | $0.075 | $27.76 | -$5.18 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat? | No | 800 | $0.052 | $26 | -$15.6 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 893.98 | $0.039 | $25.48 | -$9.03 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | Yes | 1.07K | $0.029 | $25.03 | -$6.24 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 400 | $0.071 | $24.6 | -$3.8 |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 16.24K | $0.001 | $24.36 | +$6.32 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 747.97 | $0.047 | $24.31 | -$11.06 |
 Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 440 | $0.071 | $22.66 | -$8.52 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 600 | $0.047 | $22.5 | -$5.9 |
 Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 509.36 | $0.078 | $22.16 | -$17.63 |
 Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat? | No | 421.91 | $0.064 | $21.31 | -$5.82 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | No | 462.99 | $0.080 | $21.07 | -$15.97 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 380 | $0.076 | $20.9 | -$8 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 128.45 | $0.180 | $20.55 | -$2.55 |
 Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 417.94 | $0.030 | $20.27 | +$7.69 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 445.96 | $0.072 | $20.07 | -$12.24 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.044 | $20.05 | +$15.6 |
 Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 700 | $0.014 | $19.95 | +$10.25 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300.01 | $0.052 | $19.35 | +$3.75 |
| sell |
| 400 |
| $0.100 |
| $40 |
| 1h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.014 | $0.7 | 3h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.014 | $0.7 | 3h ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.172 | $17.19 | 4h ago |
 Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Yes | sell | 234 | $0.092 | $21.57 | 4h ago |
 Will Kameto Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.086 | $1.71 | 5h ago |
| Will Gotaga Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.091 | $1.82 | 6h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.075 | $3.75 | 8h ago |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.064 | $1.28 | 8h ago |
| Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.076 | $2.28 | 8h ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 8h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 8h ago |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Yes | sell | 786.74 | $0.030 | $23.8 | 13h ago |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 13h ago |
 LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 13h ago |
 LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 13h ago |
| Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.015 | $0.75 | 13h ago |
| Will LAPTOP launch on Base?No | buy | 50 | $0.029 | $1.45 | 13h ago |
 Will Holo Devnani win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.030 | $1.48 | 13h ago |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?No | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | 13h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 13h ago |
 Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.036 | $1.8 | 13h ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 13h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.016 | $5.88 | 13h ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 14h ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 16h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | buy | 41 | $0.038 | $1.56 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 1d ago |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.015 | $2.34 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?Yes | buy | 36.17 | $0.050 | $1.81 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Clemson Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Missouri Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Florida Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
| Will BYU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Penn St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 7?No | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 2d ago |
 US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.066 | $3.28 | 2d ago |
 Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | 2d ago |
 Will CJ Carr be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?No | sell | 9.76 | $0.840 | $8.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.13 | 2d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.089 | $4.45 | 2d ago |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.066 | $1.31 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.117 | $23.4 | 2d ago |