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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 17.42K | $0.929 | $16.87K | +$682.53 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 12.63K |
| $0.976 |
| $12.51K |
| +$177.13 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 10.55K | $0.973 | $10.48K | +$220.83 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7K | $0.930 | $6.55K | +$35.01 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 6.58K | $0.914 | $6.22K | +$202.29 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.22K | $0.910 | $6.01K | +$343.85 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7.02K | $0.843 | $6K | +$81.04 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 6.09K | $0.940 | $5.75K | +$30.47 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.27K | $0.941 | $5.68K | -$222.73 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 5.46K | $0.944 | $5.24K | +$79.6 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.99K | $0.881 | $5.14K | -$1.02K |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 5.6K | $0.899 | $4.96K | -$79.97 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 5K | $0.966 | $4.94K | +$106.12 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 4.36K | $0.911 | $4.08K | +$105.8 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 4.4K | $0.908 | $3.98K | -$15.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 3.5K | $0.887 | $3.27K | +$167.58 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.49K | $0.942 | $3.16K | -$130.17 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 3.11K | $0.932 | $2.94K | +$39.63 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.3K | $0.922 | $2.82K | -$220.49 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.930 | $2.78K | -$11.99 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.95K | $0.936 | $2.74K | -$18.82 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 2.64K | $0.970 | $2.61K | +$44.67 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3K | $0.877 | $2.59K | -$34.99 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.940 | $2.39K | +$37.11 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.1K | $0.934 | $1.98K | +$23 |
| buy |
| 13.68 |
| $0.963 |
| $13.17 |
| 1d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.978 | $48.9 | 5d ago |
 Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.940 | $37.59 | 7d ago |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 115.91 | $0.950 | $110.11 | 8d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 780 | $0.988 | $770.64 | 8d ago |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 934.98 | $0.930 | $869.53 | 11d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaSomething | buy | 100 | $0.085 | $8.45 | 11d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.984 | $98.4 | 11d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 800.1 | $0.981 | $784.9 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 516 | $0.870 | $448.92 | 11d ago |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 259.01 | $0.953 | $246.84 | 12d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | 12d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.983 | $49.15 | 13d ago |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.950 | $237.5 | 17d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | 17d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 150 | $0.987 | $148.05 | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.879 | $219.75 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.829 | $33.15 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.5 | 21d ago |
 Will Iran target Oman by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.994 | $149.1 | 21d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.950 | $237.5 | 21d ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 152.91 | $0.995 | $152.15 | 21d ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.994 | $18.89 | 21d ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | 21d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 2.55K | $0.981 | $2.5K | 22d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 541.06 | $0.991 | $536.19 | 22d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 250 | $0.992 | $248 | 22d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 214.94 | $0.970 | $208.49 | 23d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 24d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 325.65 | $0.981 | $319.46 | 24d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 27, 2026?No | buy | 19.28 | $0.708 | $13.65 | 24d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | 25d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 123.83 | $0.991 | $122.72 | 25d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.978 | $97.8 | 25d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | 25d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 28, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 25d ago |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.990 | $247.5 | 26d ago |
 Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.990 | $5.29 | 26d ago |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | 26d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 242.62 | $0.991 | $240.42 | 27d ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 450 | $0.992 | $446.4 | 27d ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.58 | $0.930 | $40.53 | 27d ago |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 117.78 | $0.950 | $111.89 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 106.46 | $0.959 | $102.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.991 | $1.98K | Aug 9, 2026 |