Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 1.31K | $0.825 | $1.3K | +$219.73 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 84 | $0.710 | $59.64 | 3h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.42K |
| $0.456 |
| $1.06K |
| +$415.62 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Yes | 844.75 | $0.603 | $764.49 | +$255.38 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 609.56 | $0.861 | $569.94 | +$44.93 |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? | Meta | 670.16 | $0.763 | $552.88 | +$41.56 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 510.26 | $0.830 | $496.48 | +$73.06 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 485.76 | $0.870 | $477.26 | +$54.65 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 572.56 | $0.800 | $462.91 | +$4.87 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 459.99 | $0.867 | $439.29 | +$40.4 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Yes | 396.23 | $0.469 | $374.44 | +$188.65 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.800 | $350 | +$30 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.890 | $286.35 | +$19.35 |
 Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | No | 304.47 | $0.916 | $284.68 | +$5.84 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 260 | $0.972 | $254.15 | +$1.43 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 247.38 | $0.946 | $236.62 | +$2.6 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | No | 231.01 | $0.903 | $220.61 | +$11.87 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | No | 300 | $0.690 | $220.5 | +$13.5 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 233.57 | $0.945 | $220.37 | -$0.45 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30? | No | 225 | $0.980 | $219.6 | -$0.9 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 774.46 | $0.232 | $201.36 | +$21.36 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | No | 200 | $0.930 | $196.9 | +$10.9 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.820 | $192.3 | +$28.3 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 287.96 | $0.752 | $169.9 | -$46.61 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | No | 170 | $0.870 | $160.14 | +$12.24 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.76K | $0.017 | $158.82 | -$41.17 |
| buy |
| 800 |
| $0.210 |
| $168 |
| 3h ago |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | 4h ago |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 18.04 | $0.190 | $3.43 | 4h ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | sell | 94.89 | $0.370 | $35.11 | 6h ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.363 | $217.74 | 6h ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.375 | $15 | 6h ago |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 774.46 | $0.232 | $180 | 6h ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 939.59 | $0.319 | $300 | 6h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | 21h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.310 | $4.65 | 21h ago |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 84.67 | $0.118 | $10 | 21h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 450 | $0.400 | $180 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 280 | $0.760 | $212.8 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 96.24 | $0.949 | $91.29 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?No | buy | 240 | $0.904 | $216.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.935 | $37.39 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?No | buy | 8.4 | $0.110 | $0.92 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 169.55 | $0.870 | $147.51 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 149.47 | $0.705 | $105.32 | 2d ago |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 309.29 | $0.850 | $262.9 | 2d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | 6d ago |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 812.74 | $0.861 | $700 | 6d ago |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 32.33 | $0.952 | $30.78 | 6d ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 117.38 | $0.946 | $111.04 | 6d ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 130 | $0.946 | $122.98 | 6d ago |
 Will Ehsan Kangarani win the next Göttingen mayoral election?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 6d ago |
 Will Thomas Goes win the next Göttingen mayoral election?No | buy | 28.89 | $0.989 | $28.56 | 6d ago |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.985 | $246.25 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 21?No | buy | 20 | $0.039 | $0.78 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 21?No | buy | 19.4 | $0.039 | $0.76 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 21?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.970 | $10.67 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 21?No | buy | 20 | $0.039 | $0.78 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 21?No | buy | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | 6d ago |
| OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Meta | buy | 29 | $0.830 | $24.07 | 7d ago |
 Will another margin of victory outcome occur in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election?No | sell | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | 7d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 174 | $0.746 | $129.76 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30?No | buy | 160 | $0.510 | $81.6 | 8d ago |
 Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 8d ago |
| Will another margin of victory outcome occur in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election?No | buy | 125 | $0.900 | $112.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 28?Yes | buy | 34.28 | $0.930 | $31.88 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 28?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.890 | $2.22 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.881 | $44.07 | 8d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | 8d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.160 | $8.96 | 8d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 76.11 | $0.751 | $57.14 | 8d ago |