Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.580 | $13.2 | +$1.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 1m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.480 |
| $12.75 |
| -$1.65 |
 Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $10 | +$0.4 |
 James Comey charges dropped by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.770 | $9.9 | -$5.5 |
 Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | No | 22 | $0.745 | $9.35 | -$7.05 |
 Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $9 | -$0.6 |
 Will J.K. Dobbins have 874.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 30 | $0.440 | $8.55 | -$4.65 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.540 | $8.4 | -$2.4 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | Yes | 20 | $0.590 | $8 | -$3.8 |
 Will Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 20 | $0.480 | $8 | -$1.6 |
 Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027? | No | 20 | $0.490 | $7.5 | -$2.3 |
 Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.490 | $6.9 | -$2.9 |
| Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 4.5 | 20 | $0.570 | $6.6 | -$4.8 |
 Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $6.6 | -$1.8 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.440 | $6.3 | -$2.5 |
| Will Georgia have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 20 | $0.550 | $6.3 | -$4.7 |
 Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.470 | $6.1 | -$3.3 |
 Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 20.96 | $0.420 | $5.76 | -$3.04 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.36% in September? | No | 20 | $0.530 | $5.6 | -$5 |
 Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.450 | $5.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Aston Villa reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | Yes | 20 | $0.490 | $5.3 | -$4.5 |
 Will Anna Wintour attend Tory Burch? | No | 20 | $0.450 | $5.3 | -$3.7 |
| Will Utah State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 4.5 | 20 | $0.560 | $5 | -$6.2 |
| Will Oregon State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 20 | $0.310 | $4.8 | -$1.4 |
| Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 6.5 | 20 | $0.450 | $4.8 | -$4.2 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.770 |
| $15.4 |
| 2m ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 9m ago |
 Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | 20m ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Yes | sell | 20.01 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 24m ago |
 Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | 32m ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 65% or more?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 40m ago |
 Will Chengdu Rongcheng be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 51m ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 56m ago |
 Will Waymo launch in Detroit, MI by December 31 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | 1h ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 1h ago |
 Will SDA win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.810 | $12.09 | 1h ago |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.463 | $9.26 | 1h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.33% in September?No | sell | 19.78 | $0.080 | $1.58 | 1h ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 1h ago |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.870 | $17.39 | 1h ago |
 Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?No | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 1h ago |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 1h ago |
 Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 2h ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.780 | $8.01 | 2h ago |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 2h ago |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Yes | sell | 19.84 | $0.160 | $3.17 | 2h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.260 | $0.04 | 2h ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.846 | $16.92 | 2h ago |
 Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | buy | 17.2 | $0.690 | $11.87 | 2h ago |
 Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 2h ago |
 Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 3h ago |
 Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 19.87 | $0.690 | $13.71 | 3h ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% in September?Yes | buy | 20.42 | $0.480 | $9.8 | 3h ago |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 11.33 | $0.810 | $9.18 | 3h ago |
 Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.750 | $12.75 | 3h ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 3h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 3h ago |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 3h ago |
 Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.19 | $0.780 | $15.75 | 3h ago |
 Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 3h ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?No | buy | 19.96 | $0.810 | $16.17 | 3h ago |
 Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?No | buy | 15.01 | $0.876 | $13.15 | 3h ago |
 Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.650 | $12.99 | 3h ago |
 Will Baltimore Orioles advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 3h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.690 | $4.01 | 4h ago |
 Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.820 | $16.39 | 4h ago |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 4h ago |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 4h ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.530 | $10.59 | 4h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 60%-65%?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.820 | $16.39 | 4h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 70% or more?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.890 | $17.57 | 4h ago |
 Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes | buy | 19.86 | $0.695 | $13.8 | 4h ago |
 Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | 4h ago |
 Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?No | buy | 16.22 | $0.617 | $10.01 | 4h ago |