Analytics
Yes is at 74.5%, up 48 points from 27% when the market opened on 28 Aug 2026.
Across the 57 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 27% on 28 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 66.5%; a month before, 46.5%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 34.5% on 4 Sep 2026.
25 bps hike is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “Bank of Korea decision in November?”, ahead of No Change at 21.5%.
$478.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.82K since listing. The order book holds $659.41, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 378 trades, $2.7K bought Yes and $2.04K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Jovial-Diary with 826 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 984. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Nov 2026, 27 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 28 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 27.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 74.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 983.88 |
| Jovial-Diary | Yes | 826.06 |
| lil.b | Yes | 732.32 |
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-korea-decision-in-november
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 379.19 |
| balabalababalabala | Yes | 375.42 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 302.25 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 202.85 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 194.63 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 157.74 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 90.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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