Analytics
Trading ended on 5 Nov 2026 with Yes at 40%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 90 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4% on 2 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 40%; a month before, 47.5%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4% on 2 Aug 2026.
Jeremiah Smith is the favourite of the 32 outcomes in “NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner”, ahead of Darian Mensah at 28.5%.
$238.36K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is cosmicxbt with 198.7K shares; the largest No position is Substantial-Service with 149.2K. Ten wallets hold 99% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 40.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cosmicxbt | Yes | 198.71K |
| Substantial-Service | No | 149.16K |
| CUTJALENHURTS | No | 51.03K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-2026-heisman-award-winner-20260731185656435
20 more outcomes, none above 1.1%.
| Robbb | Yes | 7.44K |
| macrosteaks | No | 2.75K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.29K |
| allday333 | Yes | 2K |
| 2829 | No | 1.56K |
| Gaditima | No | 1.04K |
| Anjun | No | 1.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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