Analytics
Trading ended on 25 Sep 2026 with Yes at 29.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14% on 18 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26%; a month before, 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 61% on 14 Sep 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship”.
$4.73K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is KindaBoiled with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is extractive-manatee with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 96.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 5:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 16.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 29.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | No | 1.9K |
| KindaBoiled | Yes | 1.2K |
| Hyperlong | Yes | 502.13 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-make-national-championship-20260804160450277
38 more markets, none above 7.0%.
| bananabreakfast |
| Yes |
| 257.78 |
| Violet Maven 063C | No | 180 |
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 180 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 102.51 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | No | 70 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 63.47 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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