Who will be Spain's prime minister after the 2026 election?

On Polymarket, as of 27 Oct 2026, 18:37 UTC: PP 80% to win the most seats, with PSOE at 20%; Alberto Núñez Feijóo 82.5% to be the next prime minister, with Pedro Sánchez at 16%. The two markets pay on different events: the first on the party with the most seats on 29 November, the second on whoever the new Congress votes in and swears in, which took four months after the 2023 election.

When is the 2026 Spanish general election?

Sunday 29 November 2026. It is an early election: Real Decreto 806/2026 of 5 October, published in the BOE on 6 October, dissolved the Congress and Senate elected on 23 July 2023. The campaign runs from 13 to 27 November, and the new chambers meet on 23 December.

How does the Spain election winner market resolve?

To the party whose lists win the most of the 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies, each seat counted for the list it was won on: PSC lists count for the PSOE, and the joint UPN-PP list in Navarre for the PP. A tie on seats goes to valid votes. If results are not definitively known by 30 November 2027, the market pays Other.

Why can the seats market and the prime minister market disagree?

They settle on different events. The seats market pays on the count of 29 November. The prime minister market pays on the next person the Congress votes in and who is sworn in, by 31 March 2028. In 2023 the PP won the most seats, 137 of 350, but its leader lost the investiture vote, and Pedro Sánchez was invested with 179 votes.

How many seats does a Spanish government need?

A candidate needs 176 of the 350 votes in the first investiture vote, or more yes than no votes in a second vote 48 hours later, under article 99 of the Constitution. If no one is invested within two months of the first vote, both chambers are dissolved. Seats are shared out by the d'Hondt method in 52 constituencies, and a list needs 3% of the valid votes in its constituency.

Spain Election 2026 Odds on Polymarket

404 markets

Polymarket read 27 Oct 2026, 18:37 UTC

When is the Spanish election, and who is favoured?

When

Early general election: Sunday 29 November 2026, called by Real Decreto 806/2026 of 5 October. Voters elect all 350 members of the Congress of Deputies in 52 constituencies, and the new Congress then votes on a prime minister. Source: BOE, Real Decreto 806/2026, 6 Oct 2026

Favoured on Polymarket

PP 80% to win the most seats, with PSOE at 20%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 82.5% to be the next prime minister, with Pedro Sánchez at 16%

Prices as of 27 Oct 2026, 18:37 UTC. The two markets pay on different events: the first on the party with the most seats on 29 November, the second on whoever the new Congress votes in and swears in, which took four months after the 2023 election.

Spain Election 2026, the market's forecast

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82.5%

Alberto Núñez Feijóo83%

Pedro Sánchez16%

Alberto Núñez Feijóo83%
Pedro Sánchez16%
Everyone else1.6%

Election day

33 days

29 Nov 2026

Traded, 24h

$81.2K

in this market

Traded, all time

$2.2M

$1.5M resting now

All related markets, 24h

$139K

404 markets across 81 events

Comments

on Polymarket

Try it on paper

Alberto Núñez FeijóoYes83¢No18¢
Pedro SánchezYes16¢No84¢
Santiago AbascalYes1.5¢No99¢
Carlos CuerpoYes0.2¢No99.8¢
Isabel Díaz AyusoYes0.15¢No99.85¢
Yolanda DíazYes0.1¢No99.9¢
María Jesús MonteroYes0.05¢No99.95¢
Ernest UrtasunYes0.05¢No99.95¢

Vi IQ: what actually moved

Each outcome is measured against its own normal daily swing over 30 days

Alberto Núñez Feijóo: Up 2.0 points in 24 hours, 4.0× its normal daily swing. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it. 1 other outcome moved by more than noise.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo83%78Meaningful
Sharp rise24h +2.07d +0.5normal day ±0.5
Up 2.0 points in 24 hours, 4.0× its normal daily swing. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it.
Pedro Sánchez14%63Notable
Sharp fall24h −2.97d −0.4normal day ±1.1
Down 2.9 points in 24 hours, 2.8× its normal daily swing. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it.
Santiago Abascal2%24Noise
Quiet24h −0.17d −0.8normal day ±0.4
Little change: −0.1 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 0.4. Volume is 3.2× a normal day, so money came with it.

Research is free. Create a free account to save room watches and use your Vi allowance.

The race, last 30 days

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Next Prime Minister of Spain?: price 30 days ago and now
Outcome	30 days ago	Now
Alberto Núñez Feijóo	79%	83%
Pedro Sánchez	12%	14%
Santiago Abascal	4.5%	2.0%

Where the money went today

$139K across 81 events

What an order really pays

Order book depth and the average price a $1,000 and a $10,000 buy order would pay
Outcome	Bid / ask	Within 2¢	$1K pays	$10K pays
Alberto Núñez Feijóo	82¢/83¢	$35.7K, $213K	83¢+0.0	83¢+0.3
Pedro Sánchez	16¢/16¢	$818, $10.0K	17¢+0.4	18¢+1.2
Santiago Abascal	1.4¢/1.6¢	$285, $128	5.6¢+4.0	16¢+14
Carlos Cuerpo	0.1¢/0.3¢	$44, $287	2.3¢+2.0	14¢+14
Isabel Díaz Ayuso	0.1¢/0.2¢	$77, $281	1.9¢+1.7	9.7¢+9.5

Most argued about

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?157 comments$2.2K 24h
Next Prime Minister of Spain?67 comments$81.2K 24h

The largest positions

0xa5ef…2966No, Pedro Sánchez$128K
Remorseful-PepperoniYes, Alberto Núñez Feijóo$84.0K
GurupolimarketNo, Pedro Sánchez$28.6K
0xa5ef…2966No, Alberto Núñez Feijóo$26.7K
Remorseful-PepperoniNo, Pedro Sánchez$26.6K
pkzYes, Alberto Núñez Feijóo$19.7K
BatundiNo, Pedro Sánchez$19.2K
monteazukarNo, Pedro Sánchez$14.7K
BatundiYes, Alberto Núñez Feijóo$11.0K
lauremanYes, Alberto Núñez Feijóo$8.2K

Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare

Large trades

Sold No at 87¢Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$1.4Kxthype
Bought Yes at 83¢Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$5.0KL.Acosta
Bought No at 86¢Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$14.0Kmonteazukar
Sold Yes at 81¢Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$2.4Ksdhyky
Bought Yes at 81¢Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$1.4KPantheraUncia
Bought Yes at 79¢Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?$2.2Kpkz
Bought Yes at 24¢Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?$1.0Khairymuhad
Sold No at 83¢Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$1.7KNERA
Sold No at 83¢Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$4.8Ksciuboi
Bought Yes at 82¢Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$1.2KMaximRAWilson
Bought Yes at 77¢Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?$1.0KMaximRAWilson
Sold Yes at 81¢Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$1.6Kvinii

Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs

Movement log

Last recorded read: 2026-10-27 18:34 UTC

Pedro Sánchez14%27 Oct, 12:18 UTC
Down 2.9 points in 24 hours, 2.1× its normal daily swing. Volume is 2.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo84%27 Oct, 12:03 UTC
Up 3.0 points in 24 hours, 6.0× its normal daily swing. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 2.9× a normal day, so money came with it.

Work this room

The market before the vote

The party Polymarket priced highest to win the most seats 30 days, 7 days and one day before election day. The result is filled in when that market resolves.

Cycle30 days before7 days beforeDay beforeResult

29 Nov 2026, openSpain General Election Winner$212K traded

30 days beforeread on 30 Oct 2026

7 days beforeread on 22 Nov 2026

Day beforeread on 28 Nov 2026

ResultElection day, 29 Nov 2026

Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.

Price beside public attention

User reads of each name's English Wikipedia article, 27 Sep 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (30 days), beside “Next Prime Minister of Spain?”. Shares are of the names listed here. A price far ahead of attention is a reason to look closer, not evidence of anything on its own.

NamePriceReadsReads, 30dShareShare of readsLast 7 days

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82.5%32,49218.9%0.6× usual

Pedro Sánchez16%96,79156.4%0.6× usual

Which party wins the most seats

1 market, $5.3K traded in 24h

Spain General Election Winner

$5.3K 24h, $179K liquidity, closes 30 Nov 2026

Spain General Election Winner: priced outcomes, most likely first
Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	80%	—	—	$1.8K

The next prime minister

1 market, $81.2K traded in 24h

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

$81.2K 24h, $1.5M liquidity, closes 30 Nov 2026

Next Prime Minister of Spain?: priced outcomes, most likely first
Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
Alberto Núñez Feijóo	83%	—	—	$17.4K

Majorities and the government

5 markets, $3.4K traded in 24h

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

$2.2K 24h, $115K liquidity, closes 1 Jan 2027

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?: priced outcomes, most likely first
Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
January 31, 2027	60%	—	—

Vote shares, seats and placings

20 markets, $12.0K traded in 24h

Spain General Election: 2nd Place

$2.6K 24h, $37.0K liquidity, closes 30 Nov 2026

Spain General Election: 2nd Place: priced outcomes, most likely first
Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PSOE	72%	—	—	$112

Constituency by constituency

54 markets, $36.7K traded in 24h

Spain General Election: Santa Cruz de Tenerife Winner

$4.4K 24h, $55.9K liquidity, closes 30 Nov 2026

Spain General Election: Santa Cruz de Tenerife Winner: priced outcomes, most likely first
Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	45%	—	—

What moved

Over 24 hours

PSOESpain General Election: Badajoz Winner42%+25$1.8K
PSOESpain General Election: Cáceres Winner47%+14$1.3K
PSOESpain General Election: Biscay Winner

Moves and what was reported or dated near them

Each recorded move in the Spain Election 2026 room beside the room's own sourced events near it: reports by when they were published, calendar and record entries by the date they name. Close in time is not a cause: Vultax has not confirmed why any of these prices moved.

Pedro SánchezRead recorded 27 Oct, 12:18 UTC
Down 2.9 points in 24 hours, 2.1× its normal daily swing. Volume is 2.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Alberto Núñez FeijóoRead recorded 27 Oct, 12:03 UTC
Up 3.0 points in 24 hours, 6.0× its normal daily swing. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 2.9× a normal day, so money came with it.
Nothing in this read's sourced events falls near the 24 hours before this recorded read. Cause unconfirmed.
Alberto Núñez FeijóoDaily close 6 Oct+8.0 pts

About the Spain Election 2026 prediction markets

This room reads every open Polymarket market on Spain's early general election of 29 November 2026 and sorts it into the party with the most seats, the next prime minister, majorities, vote shares and constituency winners. Each price carries its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.

The room leads with the prime minister market, which stays open until a government is sworn in, and scores its record on the seats market, which settles on the count. The two can part ways: after the 2023 election the party with the most seats did not form the government.

What moves these markets

Seat projections from Spanish pollsters, read constituency by constituency: small provinces with few seats favour the largest parties
The legal pause on polls: the electoral law bars publishing them in the five days before the vote, so the last published polls are a week old on election day
Whether the PP and Vox together reach 176 seats, the majority a first investiture vote needs
How the parties to the left of the PSOE run, on one list or several, which decides how many of their votes become seats
The Interior Ministry's results, the source the seats market falls back on when reports disagree

Dates to watch

Questions

Spain Election 2026 prediction markets: questions and answers

Who will be Spain's prime minister after the 2026 election?: On Polymarket, as of 27 Oct 2026, 18:37 UTC: PP 80% to win the most seats, with PSOE at 20%; Alberto Núñez Feijóo 82.5% to be the next prime minister, with Pedro Sánchez at 16%. The two markets pay on different events: the first on the party with the most seats on 29 November, the second on whoever the new Congress votes in and swears in, which took four months after the 2023 election.
When is the 2026 Spanish general election?: Sunday 29 November 2026. It is an early election: Real Decreto 806/2026 of 5 October, published in the BOE on 6 October, dissolved the Congress and Senate elected on 23 July 2023. The campaign runs from 13 to 27 November, and the new chambers meet on 23 December.
How does the Spain election winner market resolve?: To the party whose lists win the most of the 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies, each seat counted for the list it was won on: PSC lists count for the PSOE, and the joint UPN-PP list in Navarre for the PP. A tie on seats goes to valid votes. If results are not definitively known by 30 November 2027, the market pays Other.
Why can the seats market and the prime minister market disagree?: They settle on different events. The seats market pays on the count of 29 November. The prime minister market pays on the next person the Congress votes in and who is sworn in, by 31 March 2028. In 2023 the PP won the most seats, 137 of 350, but its leader lost the investiture vote, and Pedro Sánchez was invested with 179 votes.

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
9-11	31%	—	—	$311	$490	30 Nov 2026	Yes31¢No70¢
6-8	28%	—	—	$120	$20.5K	30 Nov 2026	Yes28¢No73¢
<6	22%	—	—	$260	$530	30 Nov 2026	Yes22¢No78¢
12-14	13%	—	—	$121	$767	30 Nov 2026	Yes13¢No88¢
15-17	11%	—	—	$121	$455	30 Nov 2026	Yes11¢No89¢
18+	8.6%	—	—	$90	$474	30 Nov 2026	Yes8.6¢No91¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
<120	26%	—	—	$20	$11.3K	30 Nov 2026	Yes26¢No75¢
138-143	24%	—	—	$223	$11.1K	30 Nov 2026	Yes24¢No76¢
120-125	22%	—	—	$143	$10.6K	30 Nov 2026	Yes22¢No79¢
132-137	13%	—	—	$190	$10.9K	30 Nov 2026	Yes13¢No87¢
144+	13%	—	—	$40	$10.7K	30 Nov 2026	Yes13¢No88¢
126-131	12%	—	—	$46	$714	30 Nov 2026	Yes12¢No89¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
10-11	29%	—	—	$68	$21.3K	30 Nov 2026	Yes29¢No71¢
12-13	22%	—	—	$156	$12.7K	30 Nov 2026	Yes22¢No79¢
8-9	21%	—	—	$80	$568	30 Nov 2026	Yes21¢No80¢
14+	18%	—	—	$140	$2.1K	30 Nov 2026	Yes18¢No83¢
6-7	17%	—	—	$56	$10.8K	30 Nov 2026	Yes17¢No83¢
<6	4.0%	—	—	$80	$675	30 Nov 2026	Yes4.0¢No96¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
76+	25%	—	—	$259	$11.3K	30 Nov 2026	Yes25¢No76¢
66-70	22%	—	—	$160	$458	30 Nov 2026	Yes22¢No79¢
71-75	17%	—	—	$121	$748	30 Nov 2026	Yes17¢No83¢
56-60	17%	—	—	$868	$10.8K	30 Nov 2026	Yes17¢No83¢
<56	15%	—	—	$36	$518	30 Nov 2026	Yes15¢No85¢
61-65	14%	—	—	$60	$10.9K	30 Nov 2026	Yes14¢No86¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
26-28%	33%	—	—	$418	$468	30 Nov 2026	Yes33¢No67¢
28-30%	27%	—	—	$203	$504	30 Nov 2026	Yes27¢No73¢
30%+	21%	—	—	$138	$11.1K	30 Nov 2026	Yes21¢No79¢
24-26%	18%	—	—	$555	$1.0K	30 Nov 2026	Yes18¢No83¢
<24%	6.2%	—	—	$157	$602	30 Nov 2026	Yes6.2¢No94¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
Vox	94%	—	—	$1.2K	$13.7K	30 Nov 2026	Yes94¢No6.5¢
PP	3.8%	—	—	$18	$2.4K	30 Nov 2026	Yes3.8¢No96¢
Broad Front	3.7%	—	—	$0	$2.8K	30 Nov 2026	Yes3.7¢No96¢
PSOE	3.1%	—	—	$0	$12.5K	30 Nov 2026	Yes3.1¢No97¢
Podemos	<1%	—	—	$0	$11.5K	30 Nov 2026	Yes0.6¢No99.4¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
70%+	37%	—	—	$798	$829	30 Nov 2026	Yes37¢No63¢
68-70%	23%	—	—	$0	$459	30 Nov 2026	Yes23¢No77¢
66-68%	17%	—	—	$0	$570	30 Nov 2026	Yes17¢No83¢
64-66%	9.8%	—	—	$0	$782	30 Nov 2026	Yes9.8¢No90¢
62-64%	8%	—	—	$0	$971	30 Nov 2026	Yes8¢No92¢
<62%	4.5%	—	—	$0	$1.3K	30 Nov 2026	Yes4.5¢No96¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
5	28%	—	—	$140	$21.2K	30 Nov 2026	Yes28¢No72¢
7	23%	—	—	$60	$1.4K	30 Nov 2026	Yes23¢No77¢
8+	20%	—	—	$170	$10.8K	30 Nov 2026	Yes20¢No81¢
4	17%	—	—	$86	$1.0K	30 Nov 2026	Yes17¢No83¢
6	17%	—	—	$20	$886	30 Nov 2026	Yes17¢No84¢
<4	6.6%	—	—	$40	$710	30 Nov 2026	Yes6.6¢No93¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
18-20%	43%	—	—	$131	$1.6K	30 Nov 2026	Yes43¢No57¢
20-22%	23%	—	—	$41	$659	30 Nov 2026	Yes23¢No78¢
16-18%	18%	—	—	$108	$935	30 Nov 2026	Yes18¢No82¢
<16%	16%	—	—	$77	$1.9K	30 Nov 2026	Yes16¢No84¢
22%+	10%	—	—	$50	$11.6K	30 Nov 2026	Yes10¢No90¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
7	42%	—	—	$45	$540	30 Nov 2026	Yes42¢No59¢
8	21%	—	—	$140	$472	30 Nov 2026	Yes21¢No80¢
6	15%	—	—	$10	$370	30 Nov 2026	Yes15¢No85¢
5	13%	—	—	$37	$11.2K	30 Nov 2026	Yes13¢No87¢
<5	7.1%	—	—	$0	$691	30 Nov 2026	Yes7.1¢No93¢
9+	4.9%	—	—	$0	$463	30 Nov 2026	Yes4.9¢No95¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	55%	—	—	$179	$512	30 Nov 2026	Yes55¢No45¢
PSOE	42%	—	—	$1.8K	$525	30 Nov 2026	Yes42¢No59¢
Vox	10%	—	—	$634	$509	30 Nov 2026	Yes10¢No90¢
Broad Front	1.8%	—	—	$199	$10.6K	30 Nov 2026	Yes1.8¢No98¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PSOE	35%	—	—	$2.0K	$377	30 Nov 2026	Yes35¢No66¢
EH Bildu	34%	—	—	$295	$317	30 Nov 2026	Yes34¢No66¢
PNV	32%	—	—	$170	$378	30 Nov 2026	Yes32¢No68¢
Vox	9.9%	—	—	$70	$308	30 Nov 2026	Yes9.9¢No90¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PSOE	94%	—	—	$834	$11.1K	30 Nov 2026	Yes94¢No6.5¢
Vox	3.5%	—	—	$443	$2.4K	30 Nov 2026	Yes3.5¢No97¢
Junts	3.4%	—	—	$50	$1.3K	30 Nov 2026	Yes3.4¢No97¢
PP	3%	—	—	$326	$1.5K	30 Nov 2026	Yes3¢No97¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	86%	—	—	$0	$11.0K	30 Nov 2026	Yes86¢No15¢
Broad Front	7.5%	—	—	$226	$1.2K	30 Nov 2026	Yes7.5¢No93¢
Podemos	7.2%	—	—	$106	$1.3K	30 Nov 2026	Yes7.2¢No93¢
PSOE	2.5%	—	—	$0	$11.0K	30 Nov 2026	Yes2.5¢No98¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	80%	—	—	$54	$496	30 Nov 2026	Yes80¢No20¢
PSOE	11%	—	—	$12	$506	30 Nov 2026	Yes11¢No89¢
Vox	1.8%	—	—	$225	$10.7K	30 Nov 2026	Yes1.8¢No98¢
Broad Front	1%	—	—	$725	$10.7K	30 Nov 2026	Yes1¢No99¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	68%	—	—	$894	$538	30 Nov 2026	Yes68¢No32¢
PSOE	30%	—	—	$347	$723	30 Nov 2026	Yes30¢No71¢
Vox	3.8%	—	—	$75	$538	30 Nov 2026	Yes3.8¢No96¢
Podemos	2.6%	—	—	$170	$10.7K	30 Nov 2026	Yes2.6¢No97¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	82%	—	—	$262	$404	30 Nov 2026	Yes82¢No19¢
PSOE	17%	—	—	$61	$495	30 Nov 2026	Yes17¢No84¢
Podemos	2.1%	—	—	$911	$10.8K	30 Nov 2026	Yes2.1¢No98¢
Broad Front	<1%	—	—	$56	$10.4K	30 Nov 2026	Yes0.8¢No99.2¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	93%	—	—	$552	$10.5K	30 Nov 2026	Yes93¢No7.5¢
Broad Front	4.8%	—	—	$416	$648	30 Nov 2026	Yes4.8¢No95¢
PSOE	3.9%	—	—	$0	$871	30 Nov 2026	Yes3.9¢No96¢
Vox	2.6%	—	—	$106	$11.1K	30 Nov 2026	Yes2.6¢No97¢

Outcome	Chance	24h	7d	24h volume	Liquidity	Closes	Paper trade
PP	63%	—	—	$229	$1.3K	30 Nov 2026	Yes63¢No37¢
PSOE	35%	—	—	$494	$1.4K	30 Nov 2026	Yes35¢No65¢
Vox	2.6%	—	—	$168	$11.3K	30 Nov 2026	Yes2.6¢No97¢
Broad Front	<1%	—	—	$73	$11.0K	30 Nov 2026	Yes0.8¢No99.2¢

When is the Spanish election, and who is favoured?

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Vi IQ: what actually moved

The race, last 30 days

Where the money went today

What an order really pays

Most argued about

The largest positions

Large trades

Movement log

Work this room

The market before the vote

Price beside public attention

Which party wins the most seats

Spain General Election Winner

The next prime minister

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Majorities and the government

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Vote shares, seats and placings

Spain General Election: 2nd Place

Constituency by constituency

Spain General Election: Santa Cruz de Tenerife Winner

What moved

Over 24 hours

Moves and what was reported or dated near them

About the Spain Election 2026 prediction markets

What moves these markets

Dates to watch

Spain Election 2026 prediction markets: questions and answers

When is the Spanish election, and who is favoured?

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Vi IQ: what actually moved

The race, last 30 days

Where the money went today

What an order really pays

Most argued about

The largest positions

Large trades

Movement log

Work this room

The market before the vote

Price beside public attention

Which party wins the most seats

Spain General Election Winner

The next prime minister

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Majorities and the government

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Vote shares, seats and placings

Spain General Election: 2nd Place

Constituency by constituency

Spain General Election: Santa Cruz de Tenerife Winner

What moved

Over 24 hours

Moves and what was reported or dated near them

About the Spain Election 2026 prediction markets

What moves these markets

Dates to watch

Spain Election 2026 prediction markets: questions and answers

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

Spain General Election: Vox # of seats?

Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote?

Spain General Election: 3rd Place

Spain General Election: Broad Front (FA) # of seats?

Spain General Election: Turnout

Spain General Election: PP # of seats?

Spain General Election: ERC # of seats?

Spain General Election: Junts # of seats?

Spain General Election: Vox % of vote?

Spain General Election: PNV # of seats?

Spain General Election: EH Bildu # of seats?

Spain General Election: Badajoz Winner

Spain General Election: Biscay Winner

Spain General Election: Catalonia Winner

Spain General Election: Navarre Winner

Spain General Election: Burgos Winner