Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 2.55K | $0.746 | $1.99K | +$87.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.38K | $0.999 | $3.38K | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 155.84 |
| $0.640 |
| $80.26 |
| -$19.48 |
 Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 144.17 | $0.015 | $0.36 | -$1.8 |
| buy |
| 510 |
| $0.800 |
| $407.9 |
| 2d ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.598 | $358.9 | 2d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 875.31 | $0.160 | $140.05 | 5d ago |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No | sell | 260 | $0.883 | $229.58 | 10d ago |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | sell | 249.99 | $0.939 | $234.7 | 10d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.261 | $521.89 | 19d ago |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.56K | $0.976 | $1.53K | 27d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.549 | $549.05 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | sell | 742 | $0.286 | $212.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.950 | $5.24 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 6.46K | $0.004 | $25.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No | buy | 952.3 | $0.680 | $647.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.033 | $66 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.46K | $0.080 | $357.01 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.019 | $380 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 30K | $0.051 | $1.53K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 278.86 | $0.403 | $112.47 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | buy | 107 | $0.788 | $84.27 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 1.89K | $0.791 | $1.49K | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 114.4 | $0.796 | $91.06 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?No | sell | 120 | $0.988 | $118.56 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 555 | $0.982 | $545.1 | May 20, 2026 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?No | sell | 45 | $0.981 | $44.14 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?No | buy | 3.06K | $0.004 | $12.22 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.016 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.010 | $100 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?No | buy | 299 | $0.009 | $2.69 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.004 | $4.57 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?No | buy | 6.75K | $0.002 | $13.5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.11K | $0.517 | $1.09K | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.560 | $1.12K | May 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 22.12 | $0.450 | $9.95 | May 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.470 | $526.4 | May 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 42.73 | $0.810 | $34.61 | May 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 40.32 | $0.810 | $32.66 | May 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | May 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | sell | 142.51 | $0.474 | $67.55 | May 1, 2026 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | buy | 360 | $0.810 | $291.6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.350 | $430.72 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 495 | $0.350 | $173.25 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.380 | $570 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 473.25 | $0.370 | $175.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.169 | $337.33 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | Apr 23, 2026 |