Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 29 points from 29% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 3.4% on 28 Jun 2026.
Miguel Tellado ranks tenth of the 20 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of Spain?”. Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads at 83%; Pedro Sánchez is at 11.3%.
$10K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $34.05K since listing. The order book holds $58K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 213 trades, $16.42 bought Yes and $9.41K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Bigggggggg with 19.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 152.7K. Ten wallets hold 81.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 29.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 152.74K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 19.38K |
| donthackme | Yes | 13.97K |
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-spain-20260625005215443
8 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| e46m3 | Yes | 11.82K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 10.9K |
| eDE8e0D4d023bc128f8222a | Yes | 10K |
| balthazar | Yes | 8.21K |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 7.68K |
| PiEDawg | Yes | 7.09K |
| MKSafe | Yes | 6.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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