Analytics
Yes is at 0.2%, down 3.9 points from 4% when the market opened on 14 Jul 2026.
Across the 106 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4% on 14 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.3%; a month before, 0.2%.
Carlos Cuerpo ranks fifth of the 20 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of Spain?”. Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads at 83%; Pedro Sánchez is at 11.3%.
$4.93K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $213.42K since listing. The order book holds $127.99K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $352.92 bought Yes and $44.12K bought No; the largest was a $6.74K buy of No at 99.6¢.
The largest Yes position is peritaloco6 with 65.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 152.7K. Ten wallets hold 94% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 106 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 4.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 152.74K |
| peritaloco6 | Yes | 65.45K |
| fiter | Yes | 15.66K |
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-spain-20260625005215443
8 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| donthackme |
| Yes |
| 10.82K |
| Edje25 | Yes | 10.01K |
| knrad | Yes | 7.94K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 7.9K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 7.32K |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 7.1K |
| josepmaria | Yes | 3.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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