Analytics
Yes is at 82.5%, up 39 points from 43% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 122 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 43% on 27 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 82.5%; a month before, 78.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 62% on 28 Jun 2026.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo is the favourite of the 20 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of Spain?”, ahead of Pedro Sánchez at 9.5%.
$50.24K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $516.21K since listing. The order book holds $158.23K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $72.95K bought Yes and $8.09K bought No; the largest was a $20.5K buy of Yes at 82.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Remorseful-Pepperoni with 101.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 152.7K. Ten wallets hold 79.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 7:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 122 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 43.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 81.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 152.74K |
| Remorseful-Pepperoni | Yes | 101.82K |
| fzol | No | 50K |
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-spain-20260625005215443
8 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Gurupolimarket | Yes | 30K |
| pkz | Yes | 26.87K |
| turbolovex | No | 19.3K |
| Batundi | Yes | 13.35K |
| knrad | Yes | 10.69K |
| laureman | Yes | 10K |
| Violet Beacon 6402 | Yes | 8.82K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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