Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 15.77K | $0.500 | $11.98K | +$4.09K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.069 | $80.78 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.9K |
| $0.955 |
| $7.81K |
| +$263.3 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 8.16K | $0.834 | $6.98K | +$173.41 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 6.14K | $0.970 | $5.94K | -$9.32 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.47K | $0.856 | $4.73K | +$48.39 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.6K | $0.591 | $3.99K | -$498.96 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 4.33K | $0.836 | $3.87K | +$256.93 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.77K | $0.500 | $3.79K | -$4.09K |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 4.23K | $0.850 | $3.58K | -$21.17 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.5K | $0.329 | $3.43K | +$956.39 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3.35K | $0.972 | $3.3K | +$38.87 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 2.31K | $0.940 | $2.27K | +$92.55 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.22K | $0.965 | $2.21K | +$62.22 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.18K | $0.974 | $2.16K | +$35.93 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 1.9K | $0.661 | $1.42K | +$158.97 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.900 | $1.19K | +$44.49 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.23K | $0.818 | $1.1K | +$95.58 |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.885 | $1.1K | +$94.64 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 1.16K | $0.880 | $1.04K | +$17.45 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.643 | $838.63 | +$104.97 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.11K | $0.671 | $714.93 | -$30.55 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 700 | $0.700 | $598.5 | +$108.5 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 649.04 | $0.853 | $554.93 | +$1.12 |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8.45K | $0.022 | $498.61 | +$310.44 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 816.27 | $0.499 | $410.18 | +$2.44 |
| buy |
| 1.98K |
| $0.999 |
| $1.98K |
| 1d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.995 | $1.02K | 2d ago |
 Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 85.91 | $0.759 | $65.23 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.999 | $128.87 | 2d ago |
| Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 85.91 | $0.149 | $12.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 310.24 | $0.410 | $127.2 | 2d ago |
 Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 94.36 | $0.883 | $83.35 | 2d ago |
| Will SPD win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 45.98 | $0.092 | $4.22 | 2d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 269.19 | $0.150 | $40.38 | 2d ago |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.880 | $1.02K | 4d ago |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | buy | 2.43K | $0.860 | $2.09K | 6d ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 204.76 | $0.848 | $173.65 | 8d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.87K | $0.983 | $3.8K | 8d ago |
 Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.012 | $14.41 | 12d ago |
| Will SPD win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.034 | $14.16 | 13d ago |
| Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.958 | $1.03K | 13d ago |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.019 | $21.4 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.57K | $0.060 | $273.96 | 14d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.036 | $36.99 | 14d ago |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.880 | $123.2 | 16d ago |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.057 | $89.09 | 16d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.02K | $0.330 | $997.21 | 18d ago |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.819 | $1.42K | 19d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 4.27K | $0.830 | $3.55K | 20d ago |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No | buy | 4.23K | $0.850 | $3.6K | 21d ago |
 Will Braeden Caley win the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.980 | $1.56K | 22d ago |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.010 | $12.57 | 22d ago |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 5.72K | $0.970 | $5.55K | 22d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.100 | $322.93 | 28d ago |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.25K | $0.003 | $12.76 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.940 | $2.17K | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.085 | $93.83 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.900 | $1.14K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.997 | $1.09K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.250 | $27.75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 1.05K | $0.730 | $767.4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 398.8 | $0.999 | $398.4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Carsten Linnemann be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?No | buy | 481.21 | $0.999 | $480.73 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.999 | $1.52K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | buy | 2.82K | $0.276 | $780.38 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.998 | $1.42K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.940 | $2.09K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.955 | $1.12K | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 5–10%?No | buy | 51.9 | $0.979 | $50.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | buy | 3.05K | $0.640 | $1.95K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.640 | $730.15 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.640 | $213.12 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.38K | $0.860 | $3.77K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 818.89 | $0.020 | $16.38 | Jul 26, 2026 |