Analytics
Yes is at 84%, up 4.5 points from 79.5% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 92.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 79.5% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 84.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 84% on 24 Oct 2026.
$1.64K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.18K since listing. The order book holds $21.67K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 70 trades, $1.98K bought Yes and $465.51 bought No; the largest was a $1.03K buy of Yes at 85.0¢.
The largest Yes position is sabsabinxz with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Galaad with 816. Ten wallets hold 81.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 38 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 1:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 79.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 84.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sabsabinxz | Yes | 1.31K |
| Galaad | No | 816.02 |
| alarmac | No | 664.06 |
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the People’s Party (PP) and Vox win a combined total of 176 seats or more in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted where they are attributed to the specified party. If a listed party contests the election under a regional designation, all seats and votes attributed to that designation will count toward the listed party. For example, the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) will be treated as a regional designation of PSOE. If a listed party contests as part of a coalition, only seats won by candidates who were members of the listed party on election day will count toward that party. Except as provided above, seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-pp-vox-majority
| Rr55 |
| Yes |
| 499.99 |
| estebangg | No | 319.7 |
| Tense-Harvest | No | 240 |
| Quiet Meteor 2709 | Yes | 227 |
| vyemfql | Yes | 222.1 |
| mandysoyyoo | Yes | 119.15 |
| ivanmtri | No | 118.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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