Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 9.5 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026, the highest close was 26.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 25 Oct 2026. The current quote, 17%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 19.5% on 25 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 19.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
7 ranks third of the 6 outcomes in “Spain General Election: Junts # of seats?”. 5 leads at 32.5%; 4 is at 17%.
$60 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $900.44 since listing. The order book holds $288.74, with a 26.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 206 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 293.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 292.9 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 205.63 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 66.66 |
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together for Catalonia (Junts) in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia. Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own. CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands. Any other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies. Electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-junts-of-seats
| Crimson Oracle 6FB3 | Yes | 63.3 |
| cigarettes | No | 40 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 33.3 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 17.56 |
| vonhalen | Yes | 10 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | Yes | 5 |
| Haradwaith | No | 1.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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