Analytics
Yes is at 65%, up 7 points from 58% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 18 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 46.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 65% on 30 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?”.
$9.41K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $22.94K since listing. The order book holds $35.71K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 224 trades, $6.08K bought Yes and $1.63K bought No; the largest was a $2.53K buy of Yes at 50.6¢.
The largest Yes position is knrad with 5K shares; the largest No position is adenakoz1 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 80.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 Jan 2027, 78 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 65.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knrad | Yes | 5K |
| adenakoz1 | No | 1.08K |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 588 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pedro Sánchez continuing as Prime Minister in an acting or caretaker capacity will not be considered a cessation of office. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pedro-snchez-out-as-pm-of-spain-by
| JsonStatham |
| No |
| 578.82 |
| iHaveBeenPwned | No | 562.22 |
| rocky42008 | No | 492.92 |
| WarriorH | No | 315 |
| AbsoluteDestroyer | Yes | 300 |
| marietayaya | No | 299.99 |
| Haradwaith | No | 251.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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