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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.5K | $0.736 | $2.71K | +$135.31 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 272 | $0.500 | $136 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.310 |
| $1.71K |
| +$1.09K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.533 | $1.65K | +$317.38 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 2.9K | $0.496 | $1.38K | -$61.74 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1K | $0.905 | $980 | +$75.14 |
 Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.12K | $0.731 | $795.2 | -$23.6 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 850.02 | $0.681 | $769.27 | +$190.26 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 1K | $0.804 | $756 | -$47.73 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 665.58 | $0.729 | $644.28 | +$159.24 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 652.99 | $0.785 | $597.49 | +$85.05 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | No | 1.3K | $0.289 | $572.59 | +$196.24 |
 Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | No | 859.25 | $0.554 | $541.33 | +$65.11 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1K | $0.420 | $485 | +$65 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 452.44 | $0.884 | $446.79 | +$46.74 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.720 | $437.5 | +$77.5 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 999.96 | $0.550 | $384.98 | -$164.65 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 508.55 | $0.606 | $361.07 | +$52.82 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.219 | $355 | +$136.25 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 500 | $0.300 | $292.5 | +$142.5 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? | No | 1.3K | $0.299 | $266.5 | -$122.1 |
 Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | No | 600 | $0.380 | $258 | +$30 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.370 | $255 | -$115 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 1K | $0.330 | $255 | -$75 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | No | 1K | $0.160 | $240 | +$80 |
 Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 251.82 | $0.727 | $197.68 | +$14.49 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.720 |
| $144 |
| 3h ago |
 Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.148 | $29.7 | 20h ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.720 | $360 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 521.03 | $0.549 | $286.23 | 1d ago |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 900 | $0.626 | $563.28 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 667 | $0.370 | $246.79 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.810 | $404.99 | 5d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.520 | $520 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No | buy | 359.26 | $0.570 | $204.78 | 5d ago |
 Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?No | buy | 178.59 | $0.220 | $39.29 | 6d ago |
| Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?No | buy | 30.1 | $0.210 | $6.32 | 6d ago |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 251.82 | $0.727 | $183.19 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 459.76 | $0.217 | $99.9 | 7d ago |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No | buy | 800 | $0.260 | $207.62 | 7d ago |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No | buy | 800 | $0.310 | $248 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.260 | $260 | 12d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 235.22 | $0.880 | $206.99 | 13d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.298 | $298.08 | 15d ago |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No | buy | 220.16 | $0.370 | $81.46 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.543 | $271.44 | 16d ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.404 | $42.4 | 16d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 731.59 | $0.777 | $568.44 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | 17d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.580 | $580 | 19d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | 19d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | 19d ago |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 120.87 | $0.720 | $87.03 | 19d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 348.39 | $0.732 | $254.97 | 20d ago |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 120 | $0.740 | $88.8 | 20d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.620 | $186 | 20d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.940 | $1.03K | 20d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.370 | $74 | 21d ago |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 140.72 | $0.730 | $102.73 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.505 | $252.62 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 128.16 | $0.450 | $57.67 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.299 | $388.6 | 22d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.360 | $180 | 23d ago |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?No | sell | 300 | $0.256 | $76.92 | 23d ago |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?No | buy | 317.56 | $0.160 | $50.81 | 23d ago |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?No | buy | 500 | $0.160 | $80 | 23d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 534 | $0.661 | $353.04 | 25d ago |
| Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No | buy | 270 | $0.380 | $102.6 | 26d ago |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?No | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | 26d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.639 | $766.93 | 26d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | sell | 498.65 | $0.930 | $463.74 | 26d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 620 | $0.640 | $396.8 | 27d ago |
 Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?No | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | 27d ago |